Sunday, 8 November 2026
Under 2.5 goals today: the lowest-scoring matches
In these matches today and tomorrow, two goals or fewer is the most likely outcome. Typical are defensive teams, weak attacks or games in which neither side takes many risks.
18 matches from 11 leagues
| Kick-off | Match | League | Prob. | Odds | Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 16:30 | Santa Clara – Gil VicentePrimeira Liga | Primeira Liga | 59 % | 1.57 | Analysis → |
| Sun 23:30 | Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero – LanúsArgentine Primera División | Argentine Primera División | 56 % | 1.65 | Analysis → |
| Sun 18:30 | Gijon – ValladolidLaLiga2 | LaLiga2 | 56 % | 1.72 | Analysis → |
| Sun 17:15 | Le Havre – LorientLigue 1 | Ligue 1 | 55 % | 1.80 | Analysis → |
| Sun 23:15 | Ceara – America MGBrazilian Série B | Brazilian Série B | 54 % | 1.75 | Analysis → |
| Sun 20:00 | Athletic – Atletico GOBrazilian Série B | Brazilian Série B | 53 % | 1.85 | Analysis → |
| Sun 16:00 | Asteras Tripolis – KalamataGreek Super League | Greek Super League | 53 % | 1.80 | Analysis → |
| Sun 18:30 | Celta Vigo – LevanteLaLiga | LaLiga | 53 % | 1.90 | Analysis → |
| Sun 15:00 | Genoa – MilanSerie A | Serie A | 53 % | 1.72 | Analysis → |
| Sun 19:00 | Vitória Guimarães – PortoPrimeira Liga | Primeira Liga | 52 % | 2.00 | Analysis → |
| Sun 15:00 | Virtus Entella – ModenaSerie B | Serie B | 52 % | 1.72 | Analysis → |
| Mon 00:00 | Universidad de Concepción – O'HigginsChilean Primera División | Chilean Primera División | 52 % | 1.90 | Analysis → |
| Sun 21:30 | Unión La Calera – HuachipatoChilean Primera División | Chilean Primera División | 52 % | 1.85 | Analysis → |
| Sun 17:15 | Carrarese – SampdoriaSerie B | Serie B | 52 % | 1.83 | Analysis → |
| Sun 19:30 | Vicenza – CremoneseSerie B | Serie B | 51 % | 1.80 | Analysis → |
| Sun 15:00 | Sunderland – ChelseaPremier League | Premier League | 51 % | 2.05 | Analysis → |
| Sun 18:30 | Las Palmas – EldenseLaLiga2 | LaLiga2 | 50 % | 2.05 | Analysis → |
| Sun 16:30 | Estoril – MarítimoPrimeira Liga | Primeira Liga | 50 % | – | Analysis → |
Probability: odds minus bookmaker margin combined with our statistical model (model only if no odds). Odds from the last update; they may change before kick-off. 18+ · not betting advice · gambling can be addictive, help: gamblingtherapy.org
Top of the list is Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente (Primeira Liga) at 59% with odds of 1.57. Each row links to the full analysis with form, table, head-to-head and absences.
FAQ: Under 2.5 goals
When does a bet on under 2.5 goals win?
If no more than two goals are scored: 0-0, 1-0, 1-1 or 2-0 win, and the bet is lost from the third goal.
How is the probability in the list calculated?
40% from our Poisson model and 60% from the odds minus the bookmaker margin. This combines statistics and market opinion.
Why do under tips often have low odds?
In many leagues, fewer than three goals are scored on average, so under 2.5 is often the more likely outcome. The odds are correspondingly low.
Both teams to score today · Over 2.5 goals today · Favourites today · All markets · Odds today