Premier League · Sunday, 08/11/2026 · 15:00
Sunderland vs Chelsea Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Sunderland · Chelsea
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
It is Sunderland vs Chelsea on Sunday (8 November, 15:00).
The situation: Sunderland have gone 7 games without a win – Chelsea are on course for Europe
Chelsea are in position 4 with 16 points, ahead of the hosts (5 points, position 20). Goal difference: 7-17 for Sunderland, 19-15 for Chelsea. Sunderland are currently in the relegation zone. Chelsea occupy a Champions League place, but with no cushion at all.
Form guide Sunderland: Inconsistent at home
Recent home defeats came against Brighton and Hove Albion (0-2) and Arsenal (0-2). Against Leeds (0-0) they could only draw. Sunderland picked up 1 win from their last 4 home games, averaging 0.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
Form guide Chelsea: Inconsistent on the road
On the road, Chelsea recently played 2-0 at Everton, 0-3 at Brentford and 1-2 at Arsenal. Record in the last 4 away games: 2 wins, no draws, 2 defeats, 6-7 goals. Chelsea scored in 3 of those 4 games.
Sunderland at home, last 4 (oldest → newest)
Chelsea away, last 4 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Evenly matched record
Record in the last 2 meetings: 2 wins for Sunderland, 0 for Chelsea, 0 draws. There were 3.0 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 2-1 (Sunderland vs Chelsea, 24/05/2026).
- 24/05/2026 Sunderland – Chelsea 2-1
- 25/10/2025 Chelsea – Sunderland 1-2
Injuries and suspensions
Sunderland are without: Brian Brobbey (thigh injury), Habib Diarra (thigh injury), Dan Ballard (thigh injury), Nordi Mukiele (concussion (75% chance of playing)), Omar Alderete (suspended).
Chelsea are without: João Pedro (thigh injury), Maxence Lacroix (thigh injury), Reece James (knee injury), Jorrel Hato (injury), Jamie Gittens (ankle injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Premier League: Premier League goalscorer tips.
Premier League table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Man City | 10 | 21-13 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 24-7 | 19 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 19-15 | 16 |
| 5 | Everton | 10 | 12-10 | 16 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 9 | 11-9 | 15 |
| 18 | Man United | 9 | 10-15 | 7 |
| 19 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 9-21 | 7 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 7-17 | 5 |
Sunderland vs Chelsea odds
Chelsea are slight favourites: an away win pays 1.97, a draw 3.60, a home win 3.60. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.72.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland to win | 3.60 | 26% | 29% |
| Draw | 3.60 | 26% | 27% |
| Chelsea to win | 1.97 | 48% | 44% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.80 | 52% | 56% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.22 | 74% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 77% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 54% | 49% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 46% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.75 | 34% | 29% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.40 | 66% | 71% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Sunderland vs Chelsea
In short: Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.42. We expect a 1-1. We put the chance at around 71%, while the odds imply only 66%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- Only 0 of Sunderland’s last 4 home games had three or more goals.
Against
- Away from home, Chelsea saw three or more goals in 3 of 4 games.
- There are outliers: one of these games recently had 5 goals.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals · Odds 1.42 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk low
FAQ: Sunderland vs Chelsea
When do Sunderland play Chelsea?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 08/11/2026, at 15:00 (Premier League).
Who are the favourites in Sunderland vs Chelsea?
Chelsea are favourites: an away win pays 1.97, a home win 3.60.
What is the tip for Sunderland vs Chelsea?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.42. We expect a 1-1. Risk: low.
How did recent meetings between Sunderland and Chelsea go?
Record in the last 2 meetings: 2 wins for Sunderland, 0 for Chelsea, 0 draws. There were 3.0 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 2-1 (Sunderland vs Chelsea, 24/05/2026).
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