Primeira Liga · Sunday, 08/11/2026 · 16:30
Estoril vs Marítimo Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Estoril · Marítimo
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
On Sunday (8 November, 16:30), Estoril face Marítimo in front of their own fans.
The situation: Estoril have gone 8 games without a win – Marítimo have gone 8 games without a win
After 10 games, Estoril are in position 18 with 2 points. Marítimo have collected 8 points and sit in position 14. Goal difference: 5-19 for Estoril, 9-21 for Marítimo. Estoril are currently in the relegation zone. Marítimo are just one point above the relegation zone.
Form guide Estoril: Still winless at home
Recent home defeats came against Moreirense (1-3) and Casa Pia (1-2). Against Arouca (0-0) they could only draw. Estoril picked up no wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
Form guide Marítimo: Inconsistent on the road
On the road, Marítimo recently played 0-5 at Vitória Guimarães, 1-1 at Gil Vicente and 1-3 at Moreirense. Record in the last 5 away games: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats, 5-12 goals. Marítimo scored in 4 of those 5 games.
Estoril at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Marítimo away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Estoril vs Marítimo
The two sides have not met in the league in the last two seasons, so form and the table matter most here.
Injuries and suspensions
Estoril are without: Antef Tsoungui (suspended), Pedro Carvalho (suspended), Fabricio Garcia (cruciate ligament injury), Peixinho (injury), Israel Salazar (cruciate ligament injury).
Marítimo have no known absentees.
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Primeira Liga: Primeira Liga goalscorer tips.
Primeira Liga table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 15-19 | 10 |
| 13 | Vitória Guimarães | 10 | 10-10 | 9 |
| 14 | Marítimo | 10 | 9-21 | 8 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 11 | 6-20 | 8 |
| 16 | Nacional | 10 | 10-19 | 7 |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 10 | 9-23 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | 5-19 | 2 |
Estoril vs Marítimo odds
Estoril go in as favourites: the home win is priced at 2.00, a draw 3.50 and a Marítimo win 3.50.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril to win | 2.00 | 47% | 43% |
| Draw | 3.50 | 27% | 26% |
| Marítimo to win | 3.50 | 27% | 30% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.22 | 73% | 70% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.75 | 53% | 57% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Estoril vs Marítimo
In short: Our tip is Double chance X2 at odds of 1.75. We expect a 1-1. We put the chance at around 57%, while the odds imply only 53%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- Estoril lost 3 of their last 5 home games.
- 4 places apart in the table, in favour of the visitors.
Against
- An early goal or a red card can turn any match.
Tip: Double chance X2 · Odds 1.75 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: Estoril vs Marítimo
When do Estoril play Marítimo?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 08/11/2026, at 16:30 (Primeira Liga).
Who are the favourites in Estoril vs Marítimo?
Estoril are favourites: a home win pays 2.00, a Marítimo win 3.50.
What is the tip for Estoril vs Marítimo?
Our tip is Double chance X2 at odds of 1.75. We expect a 1-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Estoril and Marítimo go?
The two sides have not met in the league in the last two seasons, so form and the table matter most here.
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