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Sunday, 8 November 2026

Over 2.5 goals today: the highest-scoring matches

These matches today and tomorrow are the most likely to produce three or more goals. The probability combines our statistical model with the odds minus the bookmaker margin, sorted from top to bottom.

20 matches from 14 leagues

Kick-offMatchLeagueProb.OddsAnalysis
Sun 16:45Cambuur – PSVEredivisieEredivisie78 %1.25
Sun 17:00Viking – KFUM-Kameratene OsloEliteserienEliteserien76 %1.25
Sun 17:00Celtic – KilmarnockScottish PremiershipScottish Premiership72 %1.18
Sun 21:00Atlético Madrid – BarcelonaLaLigaLaLiga72 %1.28
Sun 18:00Midtjylland – SønderjyskeSuperligaSuperliga70 %1.27
Sun 16:30Stuttgart II – Verl3. Liga3. Liga70 %1.33
Sun 16:30Thun – BaselSwiss Super LeagueSwiss Super League69 %1.37
Sun 19:00Beşiktaş – GençlerbirliğiSüper LigSüper Lig69 %1.30
Sun 17:00Lillestrøm – AalesundEliteserienEliteserien69 %1.27
Sun 21:30Estrela Amadora – BenficaPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga69 %1.35
Sun 16:00Mainz – StuttgartWomen's BundesligaWomen's Bundesliga69 %1.40
Sun 16:45AZ Alkmaar – GroningenEredivisieEredivisie69 %1.40
Sun 14:30Twente – AjaxEredivisieEredivisie68 %1.40
Sun 19:00Universidad de Chile – CobresalChilean Primera DivisiónChilean Primera División68 %1.35
Sun 15:00Monza – AtalantaSerie ASerie A68 %1.42
Sun 16:30Universidad Católica – Deportes LimacheChilean Primera DivisiónChilean Primera División67 %1.40
Sun 16:30AIK – HackenAllsvenskanAllsvenskan67 %1.35
Sun 20:00Utrecht – NijmegenEredivisieEredivisie67 %1.50
Sun 18:00Inter Milan – ComoSerie ASerie A67 %1.50
Sun 15:30Köln – Bayer LeverkusenBundesligaBundesliga66 %1.45

Probability: odds minus bookmaker margin combined with our statistical model (model only if no odds). Odds from the last update; they may change before kick-off. 18+ · not betting advice · gambling can be addictive, help: gamblingtherapy.org

Top of the list is Cambuur vs PSV (Eredivisie) at 78% with odds of 1.25. Each row links to the full analysis with form, table, head-to-head and absences.

FAQ: Over 2.5 goals

When does a bet on over 2.5 goals win?

If at least three goals are scored in total, regardless of which team scores them. Regular time including stoppage time counts.

How is the probability in the list calculated?

40% from our Poisson model (goals scored and conceded this season, home and away separately) and 60% from the odds without margin.

What do the odds tell you?

Odds of 1.80 correspond to roughly 56% probability including margin. If our estimate is clearly higher, the odds are comparatively generous.

Both teams to score today · Under 2.5 goals today · Favourites today · All markets · Odds today