Swiss Super League · Sunday, 08/11/2026 · 16:30
Thun vs Basel Prediction, Tips & Odds
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
On Sunday (8 November, 16:30), Thun face Basel in front of their own fans.
The situation: Thun are in the title race – Basel have gone 4 games without a win
Basel are in position 7 with 14 points, ahead of the hosts (13 points, position 9). Goal difference: 24-34 for Thun, 18-22 for Basel. Thun are just 3 points off first place. Basel are just 2 points off first place.
Form guide Thun: Still winless at home
Recent home defeats came against Lugano (2-3), Servette (2-4) and Grasshoppers (0-1). Thun picked up no wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.8 conceded.
Form guide Basel: Inconsistent on the road
On the road, Basel recently played 1-2 at Lugano, 0-3 at Vaduz and 4-2 at Luzern. Record in the last 5 away games: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats, 10-11 goals. Basel scored in 4 of those 5 games.
Thun at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Basel away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Goals expected
Record in the last 5 meetings: 2 wins for Thun, 3 for Basel, 0 draws. There were 4.2 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 4-2 (Basel vs Thun, 09/08/2026).
- 09/08/2026 Basel – Thun 4-2
- 02/05/2026 Basel – Thun 3-1
- 18/04/2026 Thun – Basel 3-1
- 01/02/2026 Basel – Thun 1-2
- 13/09/2025 Thun – Basel 1-3
Injuries and suspensions
Thun are without: Genís Montolio (cruciate ligament injury), Fabio Saiz (injury), Louis Passavant (injury), Marco Buerki (suspended), Mats Seiler (injury).
Basel are without: Gabriel Sigua (injury), Xherdan Shaqiri (suspended), Aaron Malouda (muscle injury), Kaio Eduardo (cruciate ligament injury), Mirko Salvi (injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Swiss Super League: Swiss Super League goalscorer tips.
Swiss Super League table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | St. Gallen | 12 | 19-22 | 19 |
| 6 | Servette | 12 | 17-16 | 16 |
| 7 | Basel | 12 | 18-22 | 14 |
| 8 | Luzern | 13 | 21-28 | 13 |
| 9 | Thun | 12 | 24-34 | 13 |
| 10 | Grasshoppers | 13 | 16-29 | 11 |
| 11 | Vaduz | 13 | 24-29 | 10 |
Thun vs Basel odds
Thun go in as favourites: the home win is priced at 2.05, a draw 4.10 and a Basel win 2.95. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.37.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thun to win | 2.05 | 46% | 37% |
| Draw | 4.10 | 23% | 22% |
| Basel to win | 2.95 | 32% | 41% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.42 | 68% | 59% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.55 | 54% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.09 | 85% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.37 | 68% | 69% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.95 | 32% | 31% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.90 | 49% | 49% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.83 | 51% | 51% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Thun vs Basel
In short: We are backing Double chance X2 at odds of 1.62. Our score prediction: 1-2. We put the chance at around 63%, while the odds imply only 54%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- Thun lost 4 of their last 5 home games.
- Head-to-head: 3-2 in wins for Basel.
Against
- Basel are missing 5 players.
Tip: Double chance X2 · Odds 1.62 · Prediction 1-2 · Risk medium
FAQ: Thun vs Basel
When do Thun play Basel?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 08/11/2026, at 16:30 (Swiss Super League).
Who are the favourites in Thun vs Basel?
Thun are favourites: a home win pays 2.05, a Basel win 2.95.
What is the tip for Thun vs Basel?
Our tip is Double chance X2 at odds of 1.62. We expect a 1-2. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Thun and Basel go?
Record in the last 5 meetings: 2 wins for Thun, 3 for Basel, 0 draws. There were 4.2 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 4-2 (Basel vs Thun, 09/08/2026).
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