Serie A · Sunday, 08/11/2026 · 15:00
Monza vs Atalanta Prediction, Tips & Odds
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
On Sunday (8 November, 15:00), Monza face Atalanta in front of their own fans.
The situation: Monza are in a relegation battle – Atalanta have gone 4 games without a win
Atalanta are in position 13 with 11 points, ahead of the hosts (7 points, position 18). Goal difference: 17-24 for Monza, 16-20 for Atalanta. Monza are currently in the relegation zone. Atalanta are just 4 points above the relegation zone.
Form guide Monza: Inconsistent at home
Recent home wins came against Cagliari (4-0) and Sassuolo (2-1). There was also a defeat against Napoli (1-4). Monza picked up 2 wins from their last 4 home games, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded.
Form guide Atalanta: Winless on the road
On the road, Atalanta recently played 2-2 at Fiorentina, 2-3 at Milan and 0-2 at Juventus. Record in the last 4 away games: no wins, 1 draw, 3 defeats, 5-9 goals. Atalanta scored in 3 of those 4 games.
Monza at home, last 4 (oldest → newest)
Atalanta away, last 4 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Monza vs Atalanta
The two sides have not met in the league in the last two seasons, so form and the table matter most here.
Injuries and suspensions
Monza are without: Jan Ziolkowski (foot injury), Matteo Pessina (knee injury), Yvan Maye (muscle injury).
Atalanta are without: Isak Hien (thigh injury), Giacomo Raspadori (thigh injury), Thomas Kristensen (muscle injury), Raoul Bellanova (groin injury), Odilon Kossounou (thigh injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Serie A: Serie A goalscorer tips.
Serie A table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Torino | 11 | 15-17 | 14 |
| 12 | Genoa | 10 | 10-14 | 13 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 10 | 16-20 | 11 |
| 14 | Lecce | 11 | 12-22 | 10 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 10 | 15-23 | 8 |
| 16 | Parma | 11 | 9-17 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 11 | 16-29 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 10 | 17-24 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia | 11 | 8-21 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese | 11 | 12-25 | 5 |
Monza vs Atalanta odds
Atalanta are slight favourites: an away win pays 1.93, a draw 3.90, a home win 3.50. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.42.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monza to win | 3.50 | 27% | 36% |
| Draw | 3.90 | 24% | 23% |
| Atalanta to win | 1.93 | 49% | 41% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.83 | 51% | 59% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.25 | 73% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.11 | 84% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.42 | 66% | 68% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.75 | 34% | 32% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.10 | 44% | 46% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.67 | 56% | 54% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Monza vs Atalanta
In short: We are backing Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.50. Our score prediction: 2-1. We put the chance at around 66%, while the odds imply only 62%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- All of Monza’s last 4 home games produced three or more goals.
- For Atalanta away it was 3 of 4.
Against
- Monza are without 3 players.
- Atalanta are missing 5 players.
Tip: Over 2.5 goals · Odds 1.50 · Prediction 2-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: Monza vs Atalanta
When do Monza play Atalanta?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 08/11/2026, at 15:00 (Serie A).
Who are the favourites in Monza vs Atalanta?
Atalanta are favourites: an away win pays 1.93, a home win 3.50.
What is the tip for Monza vs Atalanta?
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.50. We expect a 2-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Monza and Atalanta go?
The two sides have not met in the league in the last two seasons, so form and the table matter most here.
All tips for 8 November 2026 · Today's betting tips · All Serie A tips · Today's odds · Instagram