Primeira Liga · Sunday, 08/11/2026 · 21:30
Estrela Amadora vs Benfica Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Estrela Amadora · Benfica
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
On Sunday (8 November, 21:30), Estrela Amadora host Benfica.
The situation: Estrela Amadora have gone 5 games without a win – Benfica have won 3 games in a row
After 10 games, Estrela Amadora are in position 12 with 10 points. Benfica have collected 25 points and sit in position 2. Goal difference: 15-19 for Estrela Amadora, 27-8 for Benfica. Estrela Amadora are just 3 points above the relegation zone. Benfica currently occupy a Champions League place, but only one point clear.
Form guide Estrela Amadora: Inconsistent at home
At home they recently beat Braga (2-1). There were also defeats against Casa Pia (0-2) and Académico Viseu (0-2). Estrela Amadora picked up 1 win from their last 5 home games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.
Form guide Benfica: Strong away too
On the road, Benfica recently played 2-1 at Santa Clara, 1-3 at Porto and 4-0 at Moreirense. Record in the last 5 away games: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat, 17-4 goals. Benfica scored in every one of those games.
Estrela Amadora at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Benfica away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Evenly matched record
Record in the last 2 meetings: no wins for Estrela Amadora, 2 for Benfica, 0 draws. There were 2.5 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 4-0 (Benfica vs Estrela Amadora, 25/01/2026).
- 25/01/2026 Benfica – Estrela Amadora 4-0
- 16/08/2025 Estrela Amadora – Benfica 0-1
Injuries and suspensions
Estrela Amadora are without: Jeremy Arévalo (back problems).
Benfica are without: Leandro Barreiro (muscle injury), Jakub Kamiński (muscle injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Primeira Liga: Primeira Liga goalscorer tips.
Primeira Liga table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 10 | 25-4 | 30 |
| 2 | Benfica | 10 | 27-8 | 25 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 11 | 24-11 | 24 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 10 | 15-6 | 21 |
| 10 | Famalicão | 11 | 15-14 | 13 |
| 11 | Alverca | 11 | 14-15 | 12 |
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 15-19 | 10 |
| 13 | Vitória Guimarães | 10 | 10-10 | 9 |
| 14 | Marítimo | 10 | 9-21 | 8 |
Estrela Amadora vs Benfica odds
Despite playing away, Benfica are clear favourites with the bookmakers. An away win pays just 1.20, a draw 7.00, a home win 10.50. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.35.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela Amadora to win | 10.50 | 9% | 11% |
| Draw | 7.00 | 13% | 15% |
| Benfica to win | 1.20 | 78% | 73% |
| Double chance 1X | 4.50 | 22% | 27% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.04 | 91% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.08 | 86% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.35 | 70% | 69% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.10 | 30% | 31% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.83 | 51% | 49% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.90 | 49% | 51% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Estrela Amadora vs Benfica
In short: We are backing Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.40. Our score prediction: 1-2. We put the chance at around 67%. The odds reflect that quite accurately, so this tip is no bargain.
For
- 3 of Estrela Amadora’s last 5 home games produced three or more goals.
- For Benfica away it was 5 of 5.
Against
- Estrela Amadora are without 1 player.
- Benfica are missing 2 players.
Tip: Over 2.5 goals · Odds 1.40 · Prediction 1-2 · Risk medium
FAQ: Estrela Amadora vs Benfica
When do Estrela Amadora play Benfica?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 08/11/2026, at 21:30 (Primeira Liga).
Who are the favourites in Estrela Amadora vs Benfica?
Benfica are clear favourites: an away win pays 1.20, a home win 10.50.
What is the tip for Estrela Amadora vs Benfica?
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.40. We expect a 1-2. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Estrela Amadora and Benfica go?
Record in the last 2 meetings: no wins for Estrela Amadora, 2 for Benfica, 0 draws. There were 2.5 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 4-0 (Benfica vs Estrela Amadora, 25/01/2026).
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