Brazilian Série B · Sunday, 08/11/2026 · 23:15
Ceara vs America MG Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Ceara · America MG
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
America MG have taken just 3 points from their last 5 away games. On Sunday (8 November, 23:15), they travel to Ceara.
The situation: Ceara have gone 4 games without a win – America MG have won 3 games in a row
After 20 games, Ceara are in position 12 with 26 points. America MG have collected 20 points and sit in position 18. Goal difference: 23-26 for Ceara, 16-28 for America MG. Ceara have nothing left to play for in the table. America MG have nothing left to play for in the table.
Form guide Ceara: Strong at home
At home they recently beat Criciúma (1-0). There was also a defeat against Goias (0-2). Against Juventude (2-2) they could only draw. Ceara picked up 3 wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
Form guide America MG: A problem on the road
On the road, America MG recently played 3-1 at Londrina, 0-1 at Criciúma and 0-2 at Atletico GO. Record in the last 5 away games: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats, 4-8 goals. America MG scored in only 2 of those 5 games.
Ceara at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
America MG away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Plenty of draws
The only meeting in the last two seasons ended 1-1 (America MG vs Ceara, 17/07/2026).
- 17/07/2026 America MG – Ceara 1-1
Injuries and suspensions
Ceara are without: Thalisson (knee injury), Pedro Gilmar (cruciate ligament injury).
America MG are without: Gonzalo Mastriani (cruciate ligament injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Brazilian Série B: Brazilian Série B goalscorer tips.
Brazilian Série B table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Criciuma | 19 | 18-18 | 29 |
| 11 | Sao Bernardo | 20 | 30-26 | 27 |
| 12 | Ceara | 20 | 23-26 | 26 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 21 | 29-33 | 26 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 20 | 26-25 | 25 |
| 16 | Cuiaba | 20 | 21-21 | 24 |
| 17 | Avai | 20 | 17-22 | 24 |
| 18 | America MG | 20 | 16-28 | 20 |
| 19 | Londrina | 21 | 21-34 | 14 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 18 | 10-43 | 7 |
Ceara vs America MG odds
The bookmakers make Ceara clear favourites. A home win pays just 1.55, a draw 3.50 and a America MG win 5.20. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.90.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ceara to win | 1.55 | 57% | 56% |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25% | 25% |
| America MG to win | 5.20 | 17% | 19% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.06 | 83% | 81% |
| Double chance X2 | 2.05 | 43% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 72% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.90 | 48% | 46% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 52% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 30% | 27% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.30 | 70% | 73% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Ceara vs America MG
In short: We are backing Home win at odds of 1.55. Our score prediction: 1-0. We put the chance at around 56%. The odds reflect that quite accurately, so this tip is no bargain.
For
- Ceara won 3 of their last 5 home games.
- America MG lost 4 of their last 5 away games.
- 6 places apart in the table.
Against
- A draw is not enough for this tip.
- Ceara are without 2 players.
Tip: Home win · Odds 1.55 · Prediction 1-0 · Risk medium
FAQ: Ceara vs America MG
When do Ceara play America MG?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 08/11/2026, at 23:15 (Brazilian Série B).
Who are the favourites in Ceara vs America MG?
Ceara are clear favourites: a home win pays 1.55, a America MG win 5.20.
What is the tip for Ceara vs America MG?
Our tip is Home win at odds of 1.55. We expect a 1-0. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Ceara and America MG go?
The only meeting in the last two seasons ended 1-1 (America MG vs Ceara, 17/07/2026).
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