Greek Super League · Sunday, 08/11/2026 · 16:00
Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Asteras Tripolis · Kalamata
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
On Sunday (8 November, 16:00), Asteras Tripolis host Kalamata.
The situation: Asteras Tripolis are in a relegation battle – Kalamata are stuck in mid-table
Kalamata are in position 8 with 11 points, ahead of the hosts (6 points, position 12). Goal difference: 8-17 for Asteras Tripolis, 14-18 for Kalamata. Asteras Tripolis are just one point above the relegation zone. Kalamata are just one point clear of play-out.
Form guide Asteras Tripolis: Inconsistent at home
At home they recently beat Atromitos (2-1). They drew with Levadiakos (0-0) and AEK Athens (1-1). Asteras Tripolis picked up 1 win from their last 5 home games, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
Form guide Kalamata: Inconsistent on the road
On the road, Kalamata recently played 0-5 at Olympiacos, 3-1 at PAOK and 1-1 at Atromitos. Record in the last 4 away games: 1 win, 1 draw, 2 defeats, 4-9 goals. Kalamata scored in only 2 of those 4 games.
Asteras Tripolis at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Kalamata away, last 4 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata
The two sides have not met in the league in the last two seasons, so form and the table matter most here.
Injuries and suspensions
Asteras Tripolis are without: Julián Bartolo (thigh injury), Franz Brorsson (suspended), Adrián Riera (injury).
Kalamata are without: Kenneth Vargas (muscle injury), Panagiotis Panagiotou (physical problems), Gonzalo Piñeiro (suspended), Dimitrios Naoumis (recovering from surgery).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Greek Super League: Greek Super League goalscorer tips.
Greek Super League table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | OFI | 9 | 14-12 | 16 |
| 7 | Kifisia | 10 | 15-15 | 14 |
| 8 | Kalamata | 9 | 14-18 | 11 |
| 9 | Iraklis 1908 | 9 | 10-12 | 10 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 10 | 8-20 | 9 |
| 11 | Levadiakos | 9 | 3-11 | 6 |
| 12 | Asteras Tripolis | 9 | 8-17 | 6 |
| 13 | Atromitos | 8 | 9-12 | 5 |
| 14 | Volos | 10 | 7-19 | 3 |
Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata odds
Asteras Tripolis go in as favourites: the home win is priced at 1.83, a draw 3.30 and a Kalamata win 4.00. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.85.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis to win | 1.83 | 50% | 49% |
| Draw | 3.30 | 28% | 27% |
| Kalamata to win | 4.00 | 23% | 24% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.20 | 77% | 76% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.70 | 50% | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 73% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 49% | 47% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 51% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 27% | 25% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.25 | 73% | 75% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata
In short: We are backing Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.25. Our score prediction: 1-1. We put the chance at around 75%. The odds reflect that quite accurately, so this tip is no bargain.
For
- Only 1 of Asteras Tripolis’s last 5 home games had three or more goals.
- Only 2 of Kalamata’s last 4 away games had three or more goals.
Against
- There are outliers: one of these games recently had 5 goals.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals · Odds 1.25 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk low
FAQ: Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata
When do Asteras Tripolis play Kalamata?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 08/11/2026, at 16:00 (Greek Super League).
Who are the favourites in Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata?
Asteras Tripolis are favourites: a home win pays 1.83, a Kalamata win 4.00.
What is the tip for Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.25. We expect a 1-1. Risk: low.
How did recent meetings between Asteras Tripolis and Kalamata go?
The two sides have not met in the league in the last two seasons, so form and the table matter most here.
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