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MLS · Saturday, 07/11/2026 · 22:00

DC United vs New York City FC Prediction, Tips & Odds

Team pages: DC United · New York City FC

Full time 0-1 · Tip “Under 3.5 goals” won

TipUnder 3.5 goals
Odds1.37
Prediction1-1
Riskmedium

Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice

On Saturday (7 November, 22:00), DC United face New York City in front of their own fans.

The situation: DC United have gone 4 games without a win – New York City want to stay near the top

After 32 games, DC United are in position 28 with 33 points. New York City have collected 39 points and sit in position 22. Goal difference: 38-58 for DC United, 48-45 for New York City. DC United are 18 points off a wildcard (per conference) place. New York City are 9 points off a wildcard (per conference) place.

Form guide DC United: Inconsistent at home

At home they recently beat New York Red Bulls (2-1). There were also defeats against Cincinnati (0-2) and Charlotte (1-2). DC United picked up 2 wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.

Form guide New York City: Inconsistent on the road

On the road, New York City recently played 2-2 at Orlando City, 0-2 at Inter Miami and 1-2 at Chicago Fire. Record in the last 5 away games: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats, 7-8 goals. New York City scored in 4 of those 5 games.

DC United at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)

2-1Columbus C0-0Atlanta Un1-2Charlotte 2-1New York R0-2FC Cincinn

New York City away, last 5 (oldest → newest)

2-0Real Salt 2-2Atlanta Un1-2Chicago Fi0-2Inter Miam2-2Orlando Ci

Head-to-head: Evenly matched record

The only meeting in the last two seasons ended 0-2 to DC United (New York City vs DC United, 03/05/2026).

Injuries and suspensions

DC United are without: Tai Baribo (hip injury), Louis Munteanu (injury), Hosei Kijima (injury), Gabriel Segal (ankle injury).

New York City are without: Alonso Martínez (leg injury), Kai Trewin (ankle injury), Drew Baiera (cruciate ligament injury), Arnau Farnós (leg injury), Maxi Moralez (cruciate ligament injury).

Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.

MLS table

PosTeamPGoalsPts
20Real Salt Lake3351-5142
21Minnesota United3353-5741
22New York City FC3348-4539
23Toronto FC3351-6339
24New York Red Bulls3345-6239
26Austin FC3342-6334
27Atlanta United3343-5733
28DC United3238-5833
29CF Montréal3337-6726
30Sporting Kansas City3339-8123

DC United vs New York City odds

New York City are slight favourites: an away win pays 2.10, a draw 3.40, a home win 3.10. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.67.

BetOddsimplied by oddsour view
DC United to win3.1030%30%
Draw3.4027%27%
New York City to win2.1044%43%
Double chance 1X1.6256%57%
Double chance X21.3570%70%
Over 1.5 goals1.2076%75%
Over 2.5 goals1.6754%52%
Under 2.5 goals2.0046%48%
Over 3.5 goals2.7533%30%
Under 3.5 goals1.3767%70%

“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.

Betting tip & prediction: DC United vs New York City

In short: Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.37. We expect a 1-1. We put the chance at around 70%, while the odds imply only 67%. That is where the value in this bet lies.

For

  • The odds match our numbers.

Against

  • At home, DC United saw three or more goals in 3 of 5 games.
  • Away from home, New York City saw three or more goals in 3 of 5 games.

Tip: Under 3.5 goals · Odds 1.37 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk medium

FAQ: DC United vs New York City

When do DC United play New York City?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 07/11/2026, at 22:00 (MLS).

Who are the favourites in DC United vs New York City?

New York City are favourites: an away win pays 2.10, a home win 3.10.

What is the tip for DC United vs New York City?

Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.37. We expect a 1-1. Risk: medium.

How did recent meetings between DC United and New York City go?

The only meeting in the last two seasons ended 0-2 to DC United (New York City vs DC United, 03/05/2026).

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