Austrian Bundesliga · Sunday, 08/11/2026 · 17:00
Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Sturm Graz · Red Bull Salzburg
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
It is Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg on Sunday (8 November, 17:00).
The situation: Sturm Graz are playing out the season – Red Bull Salzburg have won 3 games in a row
Red Bull Salzburg are in position 2 with 27 points, ahead of the hosts (19 points, position 4). Goal difference: 19-13 for Sturm Graz, 29-6 for Red Bull Salzburg. Sturm Graz have nothing left to play for in the table. Red Bull Salzburg have nothing left to play for in the table.
Form guide Sturm Graz: Strong at home
Recent home wins came against Grazer AK (6-1) and LASK (2-1). Against Ried (2-2) they could only draw. Sturm Graz picked up 3 wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
Form guide Red Bull Salzburg: Hard to beat away
On the road, Red Bull Salzburg recently played 3-1 at LASK, 0-0 at Grazer AK and 1-1 at Ried. Record in the last 5 away games: 2 wins, 3 draws, no defeats, 8-3 goals. Red Bull Salzburg scored in 4 of those 5 games.
Sturm Graz at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Red Bull Salzburg away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Plenty of draws
Record in the last 5 meetings: 1 win for Sturm Graz, 1 for Red Bull Salzburg, 3 draws. There were 2.2 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 3-0 (Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz, 20/09/2026).
- 20/09/2026 Red Bull Salzburg – Sturm Graz 3-0
- 03/05/2026 RB Salzburg – Sturm Graz 1-1
- 20/03/2026 Sturm Graz – RB Salzburg 1-1
- 09/11/2025 Sturm Graz – RB Salzburg 1-1
- 20/09/2025 RB Salzburg – Sturm Graz 0-2
Injuries and suspensions
Sturm Graz are without: Nelson Weiper (groin injury), Otar Kiteishvili (calf injury), Filip Rózga (muscle injury), Daniil Khudyakov (fracture), Leon Grgic (cruciate ligament injury).
Red Bull Salzburg are without: Kévin Boma (calf injury), Sota Kitano (ankle injury), Nikolas Veratschnig (ligament injury), Dominik Schmid (knee injury), John Mellberg (thigh injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Austrian Bundesliga: Austrian Bundesliga goalscorer tips.
Austrian Bundesliga table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 12 | 39-9 | 33 |
| 2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 11 | 29-6 | 27 |
| 3 | LASK | 12 | 30-15 | 25 |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 11 | 19-13 | 19 |
| 5 | TSV Hartberg | 11 | 20-19 | 17 |
| 6 | SV Ried | 12 | 21-22 | 16 |
Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg odds
The bookmakers expect a close game. Home win 2.75, draw 3.80 and a Red Bull Salzburg win 2.25. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.37.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz to win | 2.75 | 34% | 38% |
| Draw | 3.80 | 25% | 25% |
| Red Bull Salzburg to win | 2.25 | 41% | 38% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.62 | 59% | 62% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.37 | 66% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.08 | 86% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.37 | 68% | 63% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.95 | 32% | 37% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.93 | 48% | 42% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.80 | 52% | 58% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg
In short: We are backing Double chance 1X at odds of 1.70. Our score prediction: 1-1. We put the chance at around 60%, while the odds imply only 54%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- Sturm Graz won 3 of their last 5 home games.
Against
- Red Bull Salzburg won 2 of their last 5 away games.
- The head-to-head tends to favour Red Bull Salzburg (1-1 in wins).
- Sturm Graz are without 5 players.
Tip: Double chance 1X · Odds 1.70 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg
When do Sturm Graz play Red Bull Salzburg?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 08/11/2026, at 17:00 (Austrian Bundesliga).
Who are the favourites in Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Red Bull Salzburg are favourites: an away win pays 2.25, a home win 2.75.
What is the tip for Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Our tip is Double chance 1X at odds of 1.70. We expect a 1-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Sturm Graz and Red Bull Salzburg go?
Record in the last 5 meetings: 1 win for Sturm Graz, 1 for Red Bull Salzburg, 3 draws. There were 2.2 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 3-0 (Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz, 20/09/2026).
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