MLS · Sunday, 08/11/2026 · 01:00
Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Minnesota United · San Jose Earthquakes
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
On Sunday (8 November, 01:00), Minnesota United face San Jose Earthquakes in front of their own fans.
The situation: Minnesota United are playing out the season – San Jose Earthquakes want to stay near the top
After 33 games, Minnesota United are in position 23 with 41 points. San Jose Earthquakes have collected 52 points and sit in position 8. Goal difference: 53-57 for Minnesota United, 56-48 for San Jose Earthquakes. Minnesota United have nothing left to play for in the table. San Jose Earthquakes currently occupy a wildcard (per conference) place, but only one point clear.
Form guide Minnesota United: Inconsistent at home
Recent home wins came against Sporting Kansas City (3-1) and St. Louis City (3-2). Against Houston Dynamo (2-2) they could only draw. Minnesota United picked up 2 wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded.
Form guide San Jose Earthquakes: Inconsistent on the road
On the road, San Jose Earthquakes recently played 0-3 at Dallas, 1-1 at Real Salt Lake and 1-1 at Colorado Rapids. Record in the last 5 away games: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat, 6-8 goals. San Jose Earthquakes scored in 4 of those 5 games.
Minnesota United at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
San Jose Earthquakes away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Goals expected
The only meeting in the last two seasons ended 1-5 to Minnesota United (San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United, 23/08/2026).
- 23/08/2026 San Jose Earthquakes – Minnesota United 1-5
Injuries and suspensions
Minnesota United are without: Wil Trapp (injury), Darius Randell (ineligible), Dominik Fitz (suspended).
San Jose Earthquakes are without: DeJuan Jones (Achilles tendon injury), Kaedren Spivey (ineligible), Rohan Rajagopal (ineligible), Edwyn Mendoza (ineligible).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
MLS table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC Dallas | 33 | 59-50 | 55 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 66-51 | 54 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 33 | 56-48 | 52 |
| 9 | St. Louis City SC | 33 | 58-48 | 51 |
| 10 | Houston Dynamo | 33 | 43-42 | 51 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 33 | 51-51 | 42 |
| 22 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 48-62 | 42 |
| 23 | Minnesota United | 33 | 53-57 | 41 |
| 24 | Toronto FC | 34 | 52-67 | 39 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 33 | 57-62 | 38 |
Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes odds
Minnesota United go in as favourites: the home win is priced at 1.67, a draw 4.40 and a San Jose Earthquakes win 3.70. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.33.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota United to win | 1.67 | 55% | 46% |
| Draw | 4.40 | 21% | 23% |
| San Jose Earthquakes to win | 3.70 | 25% | 32% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.22 | 75% | 68% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.85 | 45% | 54% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.07 | 85% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.33 | 69% | 62% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.90 | 31% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.85 | 49% | 41% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.80 | 51% | 59% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes
In short: We are backing Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.80. Our score prediction: 1-1. We put the chance at around 58%, while the odds imply only 51%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- Only 2 of San Jose Earthquakes’s last 5 away games had three or more goals.
Against
- At home, Minnesota United saw three or more goals in 5 of 5 games.
- There are outliers: one of these games recently had 5 goals.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals · Odds 1.80 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes
When do Minnesota United play San Jose Earthquakes?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 08/11/2026, at 01:00 (MLS).
Who are the favourites in Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Minnesota United are favourites: a home win pays 1.67, a San Jose Earthquakes win 3.70.
What is the tip for Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.80. We expect a 1-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Minnesota United and San Jose Earthquakes go?
The only meeting in the last two seasons ended 1-5 to Minnesota United (San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United, 23/08/2026).
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