Premier League · Sunday, 08/11/2026 · 15:00
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Crystal Palace · Liverpool
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
Betting BlogCrystal Palace vs Liverpool prediction: no Mateta, no SarrIn-depth analysis with team news and tactics · Tip: Liverpool to win 1.55On Sunday (8 November, 15:00), Crystal Palace host Liverpool.
The situation: Crystal Palace are in a relegation battle – Liverpool are chasing Europe
After 9 games, Crystal Palace are in position 19 with 7 points. Liverpool have collected 15 points and sit in position 6. Goal difference: 9-21 for Crystal Palace, 11-9 for Liverpool. Crystal Palace are currently in the relegation zone. Liverpool are just one point off a Champions League place.
Form guide Crystal Palace: Home form is a problem
At home they recently beat Nottingham Forest (3-1). There were also defeats against Newcastle (0-2) and Ipswich Town (2-3). Crystal Palace picked up 1 win from their last 4 home games, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded.
Form guide Liverpool: Strong away too
On the road, Liverpool recently played 2-1 at Brentford, 1-0 at Bournemouth and 2-0 at Ipswich Town. Record in the last 4 away games: 3 wins, 1 draw, no defeats, 7-3 goals. Liverpool scored in every one of those games.
Crystal Palace at home, last 4 (oldest → newest)
Liverpool away, last 4 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Goals expected
Record in the last 2 meetings: 1 win for Crystal Palace, 1 for Liverpool, 0 draws. There were 3.5 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 3-1 (Liverpool vs Crystal Palace, 25/04/2026).
- 25/04/2026 Liverpool – Crystal Palace 3-1
- 27/09/2025 Crystal Palace – Liverpool 2-1
Injuries and suspensions
Crystal Palace are without: Ismaila Sarr (groin injury), Jean-Philippe Mateta (suspended), Chadi Riad (knee injury), Takehiro Tomiyasu (calf injury), Chadi Riad Dnanou (knee injury).
Liverpool are without: Hugo Ekitiké (Achilles tendon injury), Ryan Gravenberch (foot injury (75% chance of playing)), Jeremie Frimpong (muscle injury), Giovanni Leoni (cruciate ligament injury), Conor Bradley (knee injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Premier League: Premier League goalscorer tips.
Premier League table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 19-15 | 16 |
| 5 | Everton | 10 | 12-10 | 16 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 9 | 11-9 | 15 |
| 7 | Brentford | 9 | 16-9 | 14 |
| 8 | Leeds | 10 | 10-8 | 14 |
| 17 | Coventry | 10 | 10-19 | 9 |
| 18 | Man United | 9 | 10-15 | 7 |
| 19 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 9-21 | 7 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 7-17 | 5 |
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool odds
Despite playing away, Liverpool are clear favourites with the bookmakers. An away win pays just 1.52, a draw 4.40, a home win 5.70. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.45.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace to win | 5.70 | 17% | 20% |
| Draw | 4.40 | 21% | 22% |
| Liverpool to win | 1.52 | 62% | 58% |
| Double chance 1X | 2.50 | 38% | 42% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.10 | 83% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.11 | 84% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.45 | 65% | 63% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.65 | 35% | 37% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.05 | 45% | 43% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.70 | 55% | 57% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Crystal Palace vs Liverpool
In short: Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.60. We expect a 1-1. We put the chance at around 59%. The odds reflect that quite accurately, so this tip is no bargain.
For
- Only 2 of Liverpool’s last 4 away games had three or more goals.
Against
- At home, Crystal Palace saw three or more goals in 3 of 4 games.
- There are outliers: one of these games recently had 5 goals.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals · Odds 1.60 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: Crystal Palace vs Liverpool
When do Crystal Palace play Liverpool?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 08/11/2026, at 15:00 (Premier League).
Who are the favourites in Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?
Liverpool are clear favourites: an away win pays 1.52, a home win 5.70.
What is the tip for Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.60. We expect a 1-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Crystal Palace and Liverpool go?
Record in the last 2 meetings: 1 win for Crystal Palace, 1 for Liverpool, 0 draws. There were 3.5 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 3-1 (Liverpool vs Crystal Palace, 25/04/2026).
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