Ligue 1 · Sunday, 08/11/2026 · 17:15
Brest vs Lyon Prediction, Tips & Odds
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
On Sunday (8 November, 17:15), Brest host Lyon.
The situation: Brest are chasing Europe – Lyon are on course for Europe
After 9 games, Brest are in position 11 with 12 points. Lyon have collected 17 points and sit in position 3. Goal difference: 16-12 for Brest, 15-7 for Lyon. Brest are just 3 points off a Conference League place. Lyon occupy a Champions League place, but with no cushion at all.
Form guide Brest: Inconsistent at home
At home they recently beat Angers (5-1). There were also defeats against Nice (1-2) and Paris Saint-Germain (0-1). Brest picked up 1 win from their last 4 home games, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded.
Form guide Lyon: Inconsistent on the road
On the road, Lyon recently played 0-2 at Paris Saint-Germain, 1-2 at Lens and 0-0 at Paris. Record in the last 4 away games: 1 win, 1 draw, 2 defeats, 3-4 goals. Lyon scored in only 2 of those 4 games.
Brest at home, last 4 (oldest → newest)
Lyon away, last 4 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Plenty of draws
Record in the last 2 meetings: no wins for Brest, 1 for Lyon, 1 draw. There were only 1.5 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 2-1 (Lyon vs Brest, 18/01/2026).
- 18/01/2026 Lyon – Brest 2-1
- 02/11/2025 Brest – Lyon 0-0
Injuries and suspensions
Brest are without: Raphaël Le Guen (fracture), Brendan Chardonnet (calf injury), Romain Cagnon (injury).
Lyon are without: Tyler Morton (groin injury), Loïs Openda (fracture), Pavel Sulc (meniscus injury), Moussa Niakhate (injury), Keito Nakamura (suspended).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Ligue 1: Ligue 1 goalscorer tips.
Ligue 1 table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 9 | 21-10 | 20 |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 12-6 | 18 |
| 3 | Lyon | 9 | 15-7 | 17 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 9 | 16-10 | 17 |
| 5 | Rennes | 9 | 20-19 | 16 |
| 9 | Lens | 9 | 16-13 | 13 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 10 | 15-14 | 13 |
| 11 | Brest | 9 | 16-12 | 12 |
| 12 | Lorient | 9 | 7-8 | 12 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 10 | 18-22 | 10 |
Brest vs Lyon odds
The bookmakers expect a close game. Home win 2.85, draw 3.30 and a Lyon win 2.40. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.77.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brest to win | 2.85 | 33% | 38% |
| Draw | 3.30 | 28% | 27% |
| Lyon to win | 2.40 | 39% | 35% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.55 | 61% | 65% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.33 | 67% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 76% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.77 | 53% | 53% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 47% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.95 | 31% | 31% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.35 | 69% | 69% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Brest vs Lyon
In short: We are backing Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.35. Our score prediction: 1-1. We put the chance at around 69%. The odds reflect that quite accurately, so this tip is no bargain.
For
- Only 1 of Lyon’s last 4 away games had three or more goals.
Against
- At home, Brest saw three or more goals in 3 of 4 games.
- There are outliers: one of these games recently had 6 goals.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals · Odds 1.35 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: Brest vs Lyon
When do Brest play Lyon?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 08/11/2026, at 17:15 (Ligue 1).
Who are the favourites in Brest vs Lyon?
Lyon are favourites: an away win pays 2.40, a home win 2.85.
What is the tip for Brest vs Lyon?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.35. We expect a 1-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Brest and Lyon go?
Record in the last 2 meetings: no wins for Brest, 1 for Lyon, 1 draw. There were only 1.5 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 2-1 (Lyon vs Brest, 18/01/2026).
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