Ligue 1 · Saturday, 07/11/2026 · 19:00
Auxerre vs Paris FC Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Auxerre · Paris FC
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
It is Auxerre vs Paris on Saturday (7 November, 19:00).
The situation: Auxerre are in a relegation battle – Paris are chasing Europe
After 9 games, Auxerre are in position 14 with 10 points. Paris have collected 17 points and sit in position 4. Goal difference: 13-23 for Auxerre, 16-10 for Paris. Auxerre are just 2 points above the relegation play-off place. Paris are level on points with a Champions League place.
Form guide Auxerre: Inconsistent at home
Recent home wins came against Brest (2-1) and Nice (1-0). Against Le Mans (1-1) they could only draw. Auxerre picked up 2 wins from their last 4 home games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
Form guide Paris: Inconsistent on the road
On the road, Paris recently played 1-2 at Lens, 0-1 at Lorient and 3-2 at Marseille. Record in the last 4 away games: 1 win, 1 draw, 2 defeats, 4-5 goals. Paris scored in only 2 of those 4 games.
Auxerre at home, last 4 (oldest → newest)
Paris away, last 4 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Plenty of draws
Record in the last 2 meetings: no wins for Auxerre, 0 for Paris, 2 draws. There were only 1.0 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 0-0 (Auxerre vs Paris, 08/02/2026).
- 08/02/2026 Auxerre – Paris FC 0-0
- 29/11/2025 Paris FC – Auxerre 1-1
Injuries and suspensions
Auxerre are without: Bryan Okoh (cruciate ligament injury), Sekou Fofana (groin injury), Assane Dioussé (cruciate ligament injury).
Paris are without: Nhoa Sangui (muscle injury), Mamadou Mbow (suspended), Adama Camara (thigh injury), Jonathan Ikoné (bruising).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Ligue 1: Ligue 1 goalscorer tips.
Ligue 1 table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 12-6 | 18 |
| 3 | Lyon | 9 | 15-7 | 17 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 9 | 16-10 | 17 |
| 5 | Rennes | 9 | 20-19 | 16 |
| 6 | Marseille | 9 | 20-13 | 15 |
| 12 | Lorient | 9 | 7-8 | 12 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 10 | 18-22 | 10 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 9 | 13-23 | 10 |
| 15 | Angers | 9 | 9-17 | 8 |
| 16 | Troyes | 9 | 7-16 | 8 |
Auxerre vs Paris odds
Paris are slight favourites: an away win pays 1.62, a draw 4.10, a home win 4.80. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.65.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Auxerre to win | 4.80 | 19% | 29% |
| Draw | 4.10 | 23% | 24% |
| Paris to win | 1.62 | 58% | 47% |
| Double chance 1X | 2.10 | 42% | 53% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.13 | 81% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 79% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 57% | 54% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 43% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.60 | 36% | 32% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.45 | 64% | 68% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Auxerre vs Paris
In short: Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.45. We expect a 1-1. We put the chance at around 68%, while the odds imply only 64%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- Only 2 of Auxerre’s last 4 home games had three or more goals.
- Only 2 of Paris’s last 4 away games had three or more goals.
Against
- There are outliers: one of these games recently had 5 goals.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals · Odds 1.45 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: Auxerre vs Paris
When do Auxerre play Paris?
Kick-off is on Saturday, 07/11/2026, at 19:00 (Ligue 1).
Who are the favourites in Auxerre vs Paris?
Paris are favourites: an away win pays 1.62, a home win 4.80.
What is the tip for Auxerre vs Paris?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.45. We expect a 1-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Auxerre and Paris go?
Record in the last 2 meetings: no wins for Auxerre, 0 for Paris, 2 draws. There were only 1.0 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 0-0 (Auxerre vs Paris, 08/02/2026).
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