LaLiga · Saturday, 07/11/2026 · 21:00
Valencia vs Real Madrid Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Valencia · Real Madrid
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
On Saturday (7 November, 21:00), Valencia host Real Madrid.
The situation: Valencia are in a relegation battle – Real Madrid have won 4 games in a row
Real Madrid are in position 3 with 27 points, ahead of the hosts (9 points, position 19). Goal difference: 8-17 for Valencia, 28-10 for Real Madrid. Valencia are currently in the relegation zone. Real Madrid are just 3 points off first place.
Form guide Valencia: Still winless at home
Recent home defeats came against Villarreal (1-2) and Real Sociedad (2-3). Against Athletic Bilbao (0-0) they could only draw. Valencia picked up no wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded.
Form guide Real Madrid: Strong away too
On the road, Real Madrid recently played 3-0 at Racing de Santander, 2-1 at Barcelona and 1-2 at Atlético Madrid. Record in the last 5 away games: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats, 9-6 goals. Real Madrid scored in 4 of those 5 games.
Valencia at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Real Madrid away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Evenly matched record
Record in the last 2 meetings: no wins for Valencia, 2 for Real Madrid, 0 draws. There were 3.0 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 0-2 (Valencia vs Real Madrid, 08/02/2026).
- 08/02/2026 Valencia – Real Madrid 0-2
- 01/11/2025 Real Madrid – Valencia 4-0
Injuries and suspensions
Valencia are without: Diego López (cruciate ligament injury), David Otorbi (thigh injury), Sergi Canós (cruciate ligament injury).
Real Madrid are without: Vinicius Junior (suspended), Rodrygo (cruciate ligament injury), Raúl Asencio (fracture), Ferland Mendy (tendon injury), Jose Mourinho (suspended).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – LaLiga: LaLiga goalscorer tips.
LaLiga table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 11 | 46-12 | 30 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 11 | 22-8 | 28 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 11 | 28-10 | 27 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 11 | 18-15 | 23 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 20-20 | 19 |
| 17 | Elche | 11 | 14-18 | 10 |
| 18 | Levante | 11 | 16-21 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 11 | 8-17 | 9 |
| 20 | Málaga | 11 | 8-21 | 5 |
Valencia vs Real Madrid odds
Despite playing away, Real Madrid are clear favourites with the bookmakers. An away win pays just 1.22, a draw 6.50, a home win 12.00. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.42.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia to win | 12.00 | 8% | 13% |
| Draw | 6.50 | 15% | 18% |
| Real Madrid to win | 1.22 | 78% | 69% |
| Double chance 1X | 3.40 | 22% | 31% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.05 | 92% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 85% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.42 | 66% | 61% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.75 | 34% | 39% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.05 | 45% | 40% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.70 | 55% | 60% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Valencia vs Real Madrid
In short: Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.70. We expect a 1-1. We put the chance at around 60%, while the odds imply only 55%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- The odds match our numbers.
Against
- At home, Valencia saw three or more goals in 3 of 5 games.
- Away from home, Real Madrid saw three or more goals in 4 of 5 games.
- There are outliers: one of these games recently had 5 goals.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals · Odds 1.70 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: Valencia vs Real Madrid
When do Valencia play Real Madrid?
Kick-off is on Saturday, 07/11/2026, at 21:00 (LaLiga).
Who are the favourites in Valencia vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid are clear favourites: an away win pays 1.22, a home win 12.00.
What is the tip for Valencia vs Real Madrid?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.70. We expect a 1-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Valencia and Real Madrid go?
Record in the last 2 meetings: no wins for Valencia, 2 for Real Madrid, 0 draws. There were 3.0 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 0-2 (Valencia vs Real Madrid, 08/02/2026).
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