Bundesliga · Sunday, 08/11/2026 · 17:30
SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: SC Freiburg · 1. FC Union Berlin
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
Betting BlogFreiburg vs Union prediction: home strength v a bogey sideIn-depth analysis with team news and tactics · Tip: Freiburg to win 1.47It is Freiburg vs Union Berlin on Sunday (8 November, 17:30).
The situation: Freiburg are on course for Europe – Union Berlin are in a relegation battle
After 8 games, Freiburg are in position 4 with 16 points. Union Berlin have collected 7 points and sit in position 16. Goal difference: 18-10 for Freiburg, 7-19 for Union Berlin. Freiburg currently occupy a Champions League place, but only one point clear. Union Berlin are just one point above the relegation zone.
Form guide Freiburg: Strong at home
Recent home wins came against Schalke (2-1) and Borussia Mönchengladbach (5-0). There was also a defeat against Bayern München (1-3). Freiburg picked up 3 wins from their last 4 home games, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
Form guide Union Berlin: Winless on the road
On the road, Union Berlin recently played 1-1 at Augsburg, 0-7 at Bayern München and 0-4 at Bayer Leverkusen. Record in the last 3 away games: no wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats, 1-12 goals. Union Berlin scored in only 1 of those 3 games.
Freiburg at home, last 4 (oldest → newest)
Union Berlin away, last 3 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Plenty of draws
Record in the last 2 meetings: no wins for Freiburg, 1 for Union Berlin, 1 draw. There were only 0.5 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 0-1 (Freiburg vs Union Berlin, 15/03/2026).
- 15/03/2026 Freiburg – Union Berlin 0-1
- 01/11/2025 Union Berlin – Freiburg 0-0
Injuries and suspensions
Freiburg are without: Patrick Osterhage (muscle injury), Florent Muslija (cruciate ligament injury), Karl Steinmann (thigh injury).
Union Berlin are without: Andrej Ilic (illness), Derrick Koehn (suspended), Felix Uduokhai (thigh injury), Stanley Nsoki (muscle injury), Josip Juranovic (illness).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Bundesliga: Bundesliga goalscorer tips.
Bundesliga table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 16-7 | 21 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 27-13 | 18 |
| 4 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 18-10 | 16 |
| 5 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 17-15 | 15 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 18-16 | 13 |
| 14 | TSG Hoffenheim | 8 | 14-16 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 8 | 9-12 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 8 | 7-19 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 4-9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 12-25 | 4 |
Freiburg vs Union Berlin odds
The bookmakers make Freiburg clear favourites. A home win pays just 1.45, a draw 4.70 and a Union Berlin win 6.50. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.60.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg to win | 1.45 | 65% | 70% |
| Draw | 4.70 | 20% | 17% |
| Union Berlin to win | 6.50 | 15% | 13% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.08 | 85% | 87% |
| Double chance X2 | 2.75 | 35% | 30% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 81% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 58% | 66% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.25 | 42% | 34% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.60 | 36% | 45% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.45 | 64% | 55% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Freiburg vs Union Berlin
In short: We are backing Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.57. Our score prediction: 3-1. We put the chance at around 67%, while the odds imply only 60%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- All of Freiburg’s last 4 home games produced three or more goals.
- For Union Berlin away it was 2 of 3.
Against
- Union Berlin have often failed to score away recently.
- Freiburg are without 3 players.
- Union Berlin are missing 5 players.
Tip: Over 2.5 goals · Odds 1.57 · Prediction 3-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: Freiburg vs Union Berlin
When do Freiburg play Union Berlin?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 08/11/2026, at 17:30 (Bundesliga).
Who are the favourites in Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
Freiburg are clear favourites: a home win pays 1.45, a Union Berlin win 6.50.
What is the tip for Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.57. We expect a 3-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Freiburg and Union Berlin go?
Record in the last 2 meetings: no wins for Freiburg, 1 for Union Berlin, 1 draw. There were only 0.5 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 0-1 (Freiburg vs Union Berlin, 15/03/2026).
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