Bundesliga · Saturday, 07/11/2026 · 15:30
RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: RB Leipzig · FC Augsburg
Full time 5-2 · Tip “Over 2.5 goals” won
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
4 home games, 4 wins, 18-0 goals. Leipzig are hard to beat at home. On Saturday (7 November, 15:30), Augsburg visit.
The situation: Leipzig are in the title race – Augsburg have gone 6 games without a win
After 8 games, Leipzig are in position 4 with 15 points. Augsburg have collected 9 points and sit in position 11. Goal difference: 22-11 for Leipzig, 18-15 for Augsburg. Leipzig are just 3 points off first place. Augsburg are just 2 points above the relegation play-off place.
Form guide Leipzig: A force at home
Recent home wins came against Elversberg (4-0), Eintracht Frankfurt (6-0) and Hamburger SV (5-0). Leipzig picked up 4 wins from their last 4 home games, averaging 4.5 goals scored and 0.0 conceded.
Form guide Augsburg: Inconsistent on the road
On the road, Augsburg recently played 3-4 at Elversberg, 2-3 at Werder Bremen and 4-1 at Eintracht Frankfurt. Record in the last 3 away games: 1 win, no draws, 2 defeats, 9-8 goals. Augsburg scored in every one of those games.
Leipzig at home, last 4 (oldest → newest)
Augsburg away, last 3 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Goals expected
Record in the last 2 meetings: 2 wins for Leipzig, 0 for Augsburg, 0 draws. There were 4.5 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 2-1 (Leipzig vs Augsburg, 07/03/2026).
- 07/03/2026 RB Leipzig – Augsburg 2-1
- 25/10/2025 Augsburg – RB Leipzig 0-6
Injuries and suspensions
Leipzig are without: Assan Ouédraogo (shoulder injury), Marc Guiu (thigh injury), Max Finkgräfe (thigh injury), Samba Konaté (adductor injury), Lukas Klostermann (suspended).
Augsburg are without: Noahkai Banks (knee injury), Calvin Brackelmann (head injury), Sima Suso (bruising), Steve Mounié (injury), Tim Breithaupt (foot injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Bundesliga: Bundesliga goalscorer tips.
Bundesliga table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 14-6 | 18 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 18-10 | 16 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 22-11 | 15 |
| 5 | SV Werder Bremen | 8 | 17-14 | 15 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 18-16 | 13 |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 13-18 | 11 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 17-17 | 10 |
| 11 | FC Augsburg | 8 | 18-15 | 9 |
| 12 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 14-15 | 9 |
| 13 | TSG Hoffenheim | 8 | 14-16 | 9 |
Leipzig vs Augsburg odds
The bookmakers make Leipzig clear favourites. A home win pays just 1.12, a draw 7.50 and a Augsburg win 16.00. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.25.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leipzig to win | 1.12 | 82% | 79% |
| Draw | 7.50 | 12% | 13% |
| Augsburg to win | 16.00 | 6% | 8% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.09 | 94% | 92% |
| Double chance X2 | 2.90 | 18% | 21% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.04 | 89% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.25 | 75% | 77% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.80 | 25% | 23% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.60 | 58% | 60% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 2.20 | 42% | 40% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Leipzig vs Augsburg
In short: Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.25. We expect a 3-1. We put the chance at around 77%. The odds reflect that quite accurately, so this tip is no bargain.
For
- All of Leipzig’s last 4 home games produced three or more goals.
- For Augsburg away it was 3 of 3.
Against
- Leipzig kept 4 clean sheets at home.
- Leipzig are without 5 players.
- Augsburg are missing 5 players.
Tip: Over 2.5 goals · Odds 1.25 · Prediction 3-1 · Risk low
FAQ: Leipzig vs Augsburg
When do Leipzig play Augsburg?
Kick-off is on Saturday, 07/11/2026, at 15:30 (Bundesliga).
Who are the favourites in Leipzig vs Augsburg?
Leipzig are clear favourites: a home win pays 1.12, a Augsburg win 16.00.
What is the tip for Leipzig vs Augsburg?
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.25. We expect a 3-1. Risk: low.
How did recent meetings between Leipzig and Augsburg go?
Record in the last 2 meetings: 2 wins for Leipzig, 0 for Augsburg, 0 draws. There were 4.5 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 2-1 (Leipzig vs Augsburg, 07/03/2026).
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