LaLiga · Saturday, 07/11/2026 · 18:30
Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Osasuna · Athletic Bilbao
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
On Saturday (7 November, 18:30), Osasuna face Athletic Bilbao in front of their own fans.
The situation: Osasuna are in a relegation battle – Athletic Bilbao are chasing Europe
Athletic Bilbao are in position 7 with 16 points, ahead of the hosts (11 points, position 15). Goal difference: 11-22 for Osasuna, 14-10 for Athletic Bilbao. Osasuna are just one point above the relegation zone. Athletic Bilbao are just 2 points off a Conference League place.
Form guide Osasuna: Inconsistent at home
At home they recently beat Racing de Santander (2-0). There was also a defeat against Espanyol (0-2). Against Rayo Vallecano (1-1) they could only draw. Osasuna picked up 2 wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded.
Form guide Athletic Bilbao: Inconsistent on the road
On the road, Athletic Bilbao recently played 1-3 at Levante, 0-0 at Valencia and 0-0 at Rayo Vallecano. Record in the last 5 away games: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats, 3-5 goals. Athletic Bilbao scored in only 2 of those 5 games.
Osasuna at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Athletic Bilbao away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Plenty of draws
Record in the last 2 meetings: no wins for Osasuna, 1 for Athletic Bilbao, 1 draw. There were only 1.5 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 1-0 (Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna, 21/04/2026).
- 21/04/2026 Athletic Bilbao – Osasuna 1-0
- 03/01/2026 Osasuna – Athletic Bilbao 1-1
Injuries and suspensions
Osasuna are without: Aimar Oroz (thigh injury), Romain Del Castillo (groin injury), Jorge Herrando (muscle injury), Iker Munoz (suspended).
Athletic Bilbao are without: Gorka Guruzeta (cruciate ligament injury), Maroan Sannadi (muscle injury), Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta (thigh injury), Yuri Berchiche (suspended), Unai Egiluz (cruciate ligament injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – LaLiga: LaLiga goalscorer tips.
LaLiga table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 20-20 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | 17-19 | 18 |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 11 | 14-10 | 16 |
| 8 | Deportivo de A Coruña | 11 | 15-14 | 14 |
| 9 | Deportivo Alavés | 12 | 15-17 | 13 |
| 13 | Getafe | 11 | 8-16 | 12 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 11 | 13-14 | 11 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 11 | 11-22 | 11 |
| 16 | Racing de Santander | 11 | 15-29 | 11 |
| 17 | Elche | 11 | 14-18 | 10 |
Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao odds
Athletic Bilbao are slight favourites: an away win pays 1.97, a draw 3.40, a home win 3.90. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.05.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna to win | 3.90 | 24% | 32% |
| Draw | 3.40 | 28% | 29% |
| Athletic Bilbao to win | 1.97 | 48% | 39% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.80 | 52% | 61% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.20 | 76% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 71% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 46% | 40% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 54% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.60 | 26% | 21% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.25 | 74% | 79% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao
In short: Our tip is Double chance 1X at odds of 1.80. We expect a 1-0. We put the chance at around 61%, while the odds imply only 52%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- The odds match our numbers.
Against
- The head-to-head tends to favour Athletic Bilbao (1-0 in wins).
- Osasuna are without 4 players.
Tip: Double chance 1X · Odds 1.80 · Prediction 1-0 · Risk medium
FAQ: Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao
When do Osasuna play Athletic Bilbao?
Kick-off is on Saturday, 07/11/2026, at 18:30 (LaLiga).
Who are the favourites in Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao?
Athletic Bilbao are favourites: an away win pays 1.97, a home win 3.90.
What is the tip for Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao?
Our tip is Double chance 1X at odds of 1.80. We expect a 1-0. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Osasuna and Athletic Bilbao go?
Record in the last 2 meetings: no wins for Osasuna, 1 for Athletic Bilbao, 1 draw. There were only 1.5 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 1-0 (Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna, 21/04/2026).
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