Premier League · Saturday, 07/11/2026 · 18:30
Nottm Forest vs Man City Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Nottm Forest · Man City
Full time 3-1 · Tip “Under 3.5 goals” lost
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
It is Nottm Forest vs Man City on Saturday (7 November, 18:30).
The situation: Nottm Forest have gone 5 games without a win – Man City are on course for Europe
After 9 games, Nottm Forest are in position 19 with 6 points. Man City have collected 21 points and sit in position 2. Goal difference: 6-12 for Nottm Forest, 20-10 for Man City. Nottm Forest are just 2 points above the relegation zone. Man City currently occupy a Champions League place, 5 points clear.
Form guide Nottm Forest: Still winless at home
Recent home defeats came against Arsenal (0-1) and Coventry City (0-1). Against Tottenham (0-0) they could only draw. Nottm Forest picked up no wins from their last 4 home games, without scoring a single goal.
Form guide Man City: Strong away too
On the road, Man City recently played 1-2 at Aston Villa, 3-0 at Liverpool and 1-0 at Manchester United. Record in the last 4 away games: 3 wins, no draws, 1 defeat, 9-3 goals. Man City scored in every one of those games.
Nottm Forest at home, last 4 (oldest → newest)
Man City away, last 4 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Plenty of draws
Record in the last 2 meetings: no wins for Nottm Forest, 1 for Man City, 1 draw. There were 3.5 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 2-2 (Man City vs Nottm Forest, 04/03/2026).
- 04/03/2026 Man City – Nottm Forest 2-2
- 27/12/2025 Nottm Forest – Man City 1-2
Injuries and suspensions
Nottm Forest are without: Nicolo Savona (knee injury), Nicolas Dominguez (injury).
Man City are without: Antoine Semenyo (knee injury), Marc Guéhi (injury (75% chance of playing)), Joško Gvardiol (injury (75% chance of playing)), Mateo Kovacic (suspended), Jack Grealish (suspension).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Premier League: Premier League goalscorer tips.
Premier League table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 14-5 | 24 |
| 2 | Man City | 9 | 20-10 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 24-7 | 19 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 19-15 | 16 |
| 17 | Man United | 9 | 10-15 | 7 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 9-21 | 7 |
| 19 | Nottm Forest | 9 | 6-12 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 7-17 | 5 |
Nottm Forest vs Man City odds
Man City are slight favourites: an away win pays 1.65, a draw 4.00, a home win 4.90. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.57.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nottm Forest to win | 4.90 | 19% | 21% |
| Draw | 4.00 | 24% | 25% |
| Man City to win | 1.65 | 57% | 54% |
| Double chance 1X | 2.25 | 43% | 46% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.12 | 81% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 81% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 60% | 51% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 40% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 39% | 30% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.52 | 61% | 70% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Nottm Forest vs Man City
In short: We are backing Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.52. Our score prediction: 0-1. We put the chance at around 70%, while the odds imply only 61%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- Only 0 of Nottm Forest’s last 4 home games had three or more goals.
Against
- Away from home, Man City saw three or more goals in 3 of 4 games.
- There are outliers: one of these games recently had 5 goals.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals · Odds 1.52 · Prediction 0-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: Nottm Forest vs Man City
When do Nottm Forest play Man City?
Kick-off is on Saturday, 07/11/2026, at 18:30 (Premier League).
Who are the favourites in Nottm Forest vs Man City?
Man City are favourites: an away win pays 1.65, a home win 4.90.
What is the tip for Nottm Forest vs Man City?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.52. We expect a 0-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Nottm Forest and Man City go?
Record in the last 2 meetings: no wins for Nottm Forest, 1 for Man City, 1 draw. There were 3.5 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 2-2 (Man City vs Nottm Forest, 04/03/2026).
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