J1 League · Sunday, 08/11/2026 · 06:00
Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Machida Zelvia · Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
It is Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima on Sunday (8 November, 06:00).
The situation: Machida Zelvia are in the title race – Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit top of the table
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are in position 1 with 53 points, ahead of the hosts (53 points, position 2). Goal difference: 47-19 for Machida Zelvia, 53-22 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Machida Zelvia are level on points with first place. Sanfrecce Hiroshima occupy first place, but with no cushion at all.
Form guide Machida Zelvia: Inconsistent at home
At home they recently beat Avispa Fukuoka (3-0). There was also a defeat against Kashiwa Reysol (2-4). Against Gamba Osaka (0-0) they could only draw. Machida Zelvia picked up 2 wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
Form guide Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Strong away too
On the road, Sanfrecce Hiroshima recently played 3-0 at Mito HollyHock, 0-4 at V-Varen Nagasaki and 2-0 at Tokyo Verdy. Record in the last 5 away games: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats, 8-7 goals. Sanfrecce Hiroshima scored in 4 of those 5 games.
Machida Zelvia at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Evenly matched record
Record in the last 2 meetings: no wins for Machida Zelvia, 2 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, 0 draws. There were 3.0 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 2-1 (Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Machida Zelvia, 04/10/2025).
- 04/10/2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Machida Zelvia 2-1
- 16/02/2025 Machida Zelvia – Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2
Injuries and suspensions
Machida Zelvia have no known absentees.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are without: Takumu Kawamura (knee injury), Mutsuki Kato (knee injury), Taichi Yamasaki (cruciate ligament injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
J1 League table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 25 | 53-22 | 53 |
| 2 | Machida Zelvia | 24 | 47-19 | 53 |
| 3 | FC Tokyo | 25 | 52-23 | 52 |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 25 | 46-33 | 50 |
Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima odds
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are slight favourites: an away win pays 2.30, a draw 2.55, a home win 3.60. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.70.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia to win | 3.60 | 25% | 31% |
| Draw | 2.55 | 35% | 32% |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win | 2.30 | 39% | 37% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.52 | 61% | 63% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.30 | 75% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 76% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 54% | 49% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.97 | 46% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.75 | 33% | 29% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.37 | 67% | 71% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
In short: Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.37. We expect a 1-1. We put the chance at around 71%, while the odds imply only 67%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- The odds match our numbers.
Against
- At home, Machida Zelvia saw three or more goals in 3 of 5 games.
- Away from home, Sanfrecce Hiroshima saw three or more goals in 3 of 5 games.
- There are outliers: one of these games recently had 6 goals.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals · Odds 1.37 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk low
FAQ: Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
When do Machida Zelvia play Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 08/11/2026, at 06:00 (J1 League).
Who are the favourites in Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are favourites: an away win pays 2.30, a home win 3.60.
What is the tip for Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.37. We expect a 1-1. Risk: low.
How did recent meetings between Machida Zelvia and Sanfrecce Hiroshima go?
Record in the last 2 meetings: no wins for Machida Zelvia, 2 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, 0 draws. There were 3.0 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 2-1 (Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Machida Zelvia, 04/10/2025).
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