Ekstraklasa · Sunday, 08/11/2026 · 17:30
Legia Warschau vs Raków Częstochowa Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Legia Warschau · Raków Częstochowa
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
Raków Częstochowa have taken just 3 points from their last 5 away games. On Sunday (8 November, 17:30), they travel to Legia Warschau.
The situation: Legia Warschau are on course for Europe – Raków Częstochowa are in a relegation battle
Legia Warschau are in position 3 with 24 points, Raków Częstochowa follow in position 17 with 9 points. Goal difference: 23-11 for Legia Warschau, 19-29 for Raków Częstochowa. Legia Warschau occupy a European competition place, but with no cushion at all. Raków Częstochowa are currently in the relegation zone.
Form guide Legia Warschau: Inconsistent at home
At home they recently beat Wisła Kraków (2-0). There was also a defeat against Lech Poznań (1-2). Against Widzew Łódź (1-1) they could only draw. Legia Warschau picked up 2 wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.
Form guide Raków Częstochowa: A problem on the road
On the road, Raków Częstochowa recently played 1-2 at Wisła Kraków, 2-1 at Wieczysta Kraków and 2-3 at Korona Kielce. Record in the last 5 away games: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats, 6-9 goals. Raków Częstochowa scored in 4 of those 5 games.
Legia Warschau at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Raków Częstochowa away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Plenty of draws
Record in the last 2 meetings: no wins for Legia Warschau, 0 for Raków Częstochowa, 2 draws. There were 2.0 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 1-1 (Legia Warschau vs Raków Częstochowa, 22/03/2026).
- 22/03/2026 Legia Warschau – Raków Częstochowa 1-1
- 20/09/2025 Raków Częstochowa – Legia Warschau 1-1
Injuries and suspensions
Legia Warschau are without: Samuel Kovacik (knee injury), Bartosz Kapustka (suspended).
Raków Częstochowa are without: Marko Perovic (ligament injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Ekstraklasa: Ekstraklasa goalscorer tips.
Ekstraklasa table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznań | 12 | 32-11 | 31 |
| 2 | Górnik Zabrze | 14 | 23-12 | 31 |
| 3 | Legia Warschau | 13 | 23-11 | 24 |
| 4 | Pogoń Szczecin | 13 | 20-15 | 24 |
| 5 | Wisła Kraków | 14 | 22-19 | 24 |
| 15 | Cracovia | 14 | 16-23 | 12 |
| 16 | Śląsk Wrocław | 14 | 17-25 | 10 |
| 17 | Raków Częstochowa | 13 | 19-29 | 9 |
| 18 | Wieczysta Kraków | 14 | 18-28 | 8 |
Legia Warschau vs Raków Częstochowa odds
Legia Warschau go in as favourites: the home win is priced at 1.70, a draw 3.80 and a Raków Częstochowa win 3.90. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.55.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legia Warschau to win | 1.70 | 53% | 55% |
| Draw | 3.80 | 24% | 23% |
| Raków Częstochowa to win | 3.90 | 23% | 22% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.14 | 77% | 78% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.95 | 47% | 45% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 79% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 59% | 58% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 41% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 38% | 37% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.47 | 62% | 63% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Legia Warschau vs Raków Częstochowa
In short: Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.47. We expect a 1-1. We put the chance at around 63%. The odds reflect that quite accurately, so this tip is no bargain.
For
- Only 2 of Legia Warschau’s last 5 home games had three or more goals.
Against
- Away from home, Raków Częstochowa saw three or more goals in 4 of 5 games.
- There are outliers: one of these games recently had 5 goals.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals · Odds 1.47 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: Legia Warschau vs Raków Częstochowa
When do Legia Warschau play Raków Częstochowa?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 08/11/2026, at 17:30 (Ekstraklasa).
Who are the favourites in Legia Warschau vs Raków Częstochowa?
Legia Warschau are favourites: a home win pays 1.70, a Raków Częstochowa win 3.90.
What is the tip for Legia Warschau vs Raków Częstochowa?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.47. We expect a 1-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Legia Warschau and Raków Częstochowa go?
Record in the last 2 meetings: no wins for Legia Warschau, 0 for Raków Częstochowa, 2 draws. There were 2.0 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 1-1 (Legia Warschau vs Raków Częstochowa, 22/03/2026).
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