Argentine Primera División · Sunday, 08/11/2026 · 02:00
Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Instituto · Newell's Old Boys
Full time 2-2 · Tip “Over 1.5 goals” won
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
5 home games, 4 wins, 9-4 goals. Instituto are hard to beat at home. On Sunday (8 November, 02:00), Newell's Old Boys visit.
The situation: Instituto want to stay near the top – Newell's Old Boys want to stay near the top
After 31 games, Instituto are in position 9 with 54 points. Newell's Old Boys have collected 37 points and sit in position 23. Goal difference: 41-30 for Instituto, 29-38 for Newell's Old Boys. Instituto are just one point off a knockout round (per group) place. Newell's Old Boys are 18 points off a knockout round (per group) place.
Form guide Instituto: Strong at home
Recent home wins came against Deportivo Riestra (1-0) and Talleres de Córdoba (3-1). Against Boca Juniors (2-2) they could only draw. Instituto picked up 4 wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.
Form guide Newell's Old Boys: Inconsistent on the road
On the road, Newell's Old Boys recently played 0-0 at San Lorenzo, 0-1 at Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza and 1-0 at Platense. Record in the last 5 away games: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat, 2-2 goals. Newell's Old Boys scored in only 2 of those 5 games.
Instituto at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Newell's Old Boys away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Plenty of draws
The only meeting in the last two seasons ended 1-1 (Newell's Old Boys vs Instituto, 26/04/2026).
- 26/04/2026 Newell's Old Boys – Instituto 1-1
Injuries and suspensions
Instituto are without: Luca Rafaelli (thigh injury), Lorenzo Albarracín (muscle injury).
Newell's Old Boys are without: Saúl Salcedo (fracture).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Argentine Primera División table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Independiente Rivadavia | 33 | 51-41 | 57 |
| 8 | Vélez Sarsfield | 33 | 43-30 | 56 |
| 9 | Instituto | 31 | 41-30 | 54 |
| 10 | Lanús | 32 | 36-28 | 49 |
| 11 | Estudiantes de La Plata | 33 | 40-30 | 47 |
| 21 | Talleres de Córdoba | 33 | 34-37 | 39 |
| 22 | Racing Club | 34 | 35-41 | 39 |
| 23 | Newell's Old Boys | 31 | 29-38 | 37 |
| 24 | Platense | 32 | 28-35 | 36 |
| 25 | Banfield | 32 | 35-44 | 33 |
Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys odds
Instituto go in as favourites: the home win is priced at 1.75, a draw 3.00 and a Newell's Old Boys win 4.90. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.45.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Instituto to win | 1.75 | 52% | 54% |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30% | 28% |
| Newell's Old Boys to win | 4.90 | 18% | 18% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.17 | 82% | 82% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.70 | 48% | 46% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.45 | 63% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.45 | 37% | 40% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.45 | 63% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.50 | 20% | 21% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.14 | 80% | 79% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys
In short: We are backing Over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.45. Our score prediction: 2-0. We put the chance at around 66%, while the odds imply only 63%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- 3 of Instituto’s last 5 home games produced three or more goals.
- For Newell's Old Boys away it was 0 of 5.
Against
- Instituto kept 2 clean sheets at home.
- Newell's Old Boys have often failed to score away recently.
- Instituto are without 2 players.
Tip: Over 1.5 goals · Odds 1.45 · Prediction 2-0 · Risk medium
FAQ: Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys
When do Instituto play Newell's Old Boys?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 08/11/2026, at 02:00 (Argentine Primera División).
Who are the favourites in Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys?
Instituto are favourites: a home win pays 1.75, a Newell's Old Boys win 4.90.
What is the tip for Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys?
Our tip is Over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.45. We expect a 2-0. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Instituto and Newell's Old Boys go?
The only meeting in the last two seasons ended 1-1 (Newell's Old Boys vs Instituto, 26/04/2026).
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