MLS · Sunday, 08/11/2026 · 01:00
Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City SC Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Houston Dynamo · St. Louis City SC
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
It is Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City on Sunday (8 November, 01:00).
The situation: Houston Dynamo want to stay near the top – St. Louis City have gone 5 games without a win
After 33 games, Houston Dynamo are in position 10 with 51 points. St. Louis City have collected 51 points and sit in position 9. Goal difference: 43-42 for Houston Dynamo, 58-48 for St. Louis City. Houston Dynamo are level on points with a wildcard (per conference) place. St. Louis City occupy a wildcard (per conference) place, but with no cushion at all.
Form guide Houston Dynamo: Inconsistent at home
At home they recently lost to Sporting Kansas City (0-2). They drew with Minnesota United (0-0) and Dallas (2-2). Houston Dynamo picked up 1 win from their last 5 home games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
Form guide St. Louis City: Inconsistent on the road
On the road, St. Louis City recently played 0-3 at Real Salt Lake, 2-3 at Minnesota United and 3-0 at New York Red Bulls. Record in the last 5 away games: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats, 10-9 goals. St. Louis City scored in 4 of those 5 games.
Houston Dynamo at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
St. Louis City away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Evenly matched record
The only meeting in the last two seasons ended 2-1 to St. Louis City (St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo, 23/08/2026).
- 23/08/2026 St. Louis City – Houston Dynamo 2-1
Injuries and suspensions
Houston Dynamo are without: Marcelo Saracchi (injury), Jimmy Maurer (head injury), Reese Miller (hip injury).
St. Louis City are without: Roman Buerki (injury), Célio Pompeu (cruciate ligament injury), Tyson Pearce (ineligible).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
MLS table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 66-51 | 54 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 33 | 56-48 | 52 |
| 9 | St. Louis City SC | 33 | 58-48 | 51 |
| 10 | Houston Dynamo | 33 | 43-42 | 51 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 66-52 | 50 |
| 12 | Los Angeles FC | 33 | 51-38 | 47 |
Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City odds
The bookmakers expect a close game. Home win 2.55, draw 3.20 and a St. Louis City win 2.55. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.55.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo to win | 2.55 | 36% | 38% |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28% | 28% |
| St. Louis City to win | 2.55 | 36% | 34% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.35 | 64% | 66% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.50 | 64% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 79% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 59% | 51% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 41% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.35 | 39% | 31% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.50 | 61% | 69% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City
In short: Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.50. We expect a 1-1. We put the chance at around 69%, while the odds imply only 61%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- The odds match our numbers.
Against
- At home, Houston Dynamo saw three or more goals in 3 of 5 games.
- Away from home, St. Louis City saw three or more goals in 5 of 5 games.
- There are outliers: one of these games recently had 5 goals.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals · Odds 1.50 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City
When do Houston Dynamo play St. Louis City?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 08/11/2026, at 01:00 (MLS).
Who are the favourites in Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City?
St. Louis City are favourites: an away win pays 2.55, a home win 2.55.
What is the tip for Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.50. We expect a 1-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Houston Dynamo and St. Louis City go?
The only meeting in the last two seasons ended 2-1 to St. Louis City (St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo, 23/08/2026).
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