Scottish Premiership · Sunday, 08/11/2026 · 16:00
Heart of Midlothian vs Falkirk Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Heart of Midlothian · Falkirk
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
5 home games, 4 wins, 15-4 goals. Heart of Midlothian are hard to beat at home. On Sunday (8 November, 16:00), Falkirk visit.
The situation: Heart of Midlothian want to stay near the top – Falkirk have won 4 games in a row
After 11 games, Heart of Midlothian are in position 3 with 20 points. Falkirk have collected 18 points and sit in position 4. Goal difference: 24-17 for Heart of Midlothian, 15-12 for Falkirk. Heart of Midlothian currently occupy a top half place, but only 3 points clear. Falkirk currently occupy a top half place, but only one point clear.
Form guide Heart of Midlothian: Strong at home
Recent home wins came against St Mirren (5-0) and Dundee (2-1). Against Rangers (2-2) they could only draw. Heart of Midlothian picked up 4 wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.
Form guide Falkirk: Inconsistent on the road
On the road, Falkirk recently played 1-0 at Aberdeen, 2-1 at Hibernian and 1-1 at St Johnstone. Record in the last 5 away games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat, 6-5 goals. Falkirk scored in every one of those games.
Heart of Midlothian at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Falkirk away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Heart of Midlothian enjoy facing Falkirk
Record in the last 5 meetings: 4 wins for Heart of Midlothian, 1 for Falkirk, 0 draws. There were 2.4 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 2-1 (Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian, 15/09/2026).
- 15/09/2026 Falkirk – Heart of Midlothian 2-1
- 13/05/2026 Hearts – Falkirk 3-0
- 21/02/2026 Hearts – Falkirk 1-0
- 13/12/2025 Falkirk – Hearts 0-2
- 27/09/2025 Hearts – Falkirk 3-0
Injuries and suspensions
Heart of Midlothian are without: James Wilson (suspended), Calvin Miller (knee injury), Ageu (muscle injury), Tom Renaud (ankle injury), Oisin McEntee (calf injury).
Falkirk have no known absentees.
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Scottish Premiership: Scottish Premiership goalscorer tips.
Scottish Premiership table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 12 | 27-10 | 28 |
| 2 | Rangers | 12 | 21-9 | 27 |
| 3 | Heart of Midlothian | 11 | 24-17 | 20 |
| 4 | Falkirk | 12 | 15-12 | 18 |
| 5 | Dundee | 12 | 18-15 | 17 |
| 6 | Dundee United | 12 | 17-17 | 17 |
Heart of Midlothian vs Falkirk odds
The bookmakers make Heart of Midlothian clear favourites. A home win pays just 1.57, a draw 4.10 and a Falkirk win 4.60. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.55.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian to win | 1.57 | 58% | 56% |
| Draw | 4.10 | 22% | 23% |
| Falkirk to win | 4.60 | 20% | 21% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.18 | 80% | 79% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.95 | 42% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 80% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 59% | 55% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 41% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 38% | 34% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.47 | 62% | 66% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Heart of Midlothian vs Falkirk
In short: We are backing Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.55. Our score prediction: 1-1. We put the chance at around 64%, while the odds imply only 59%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- Only 2 of Falkirk’s last 5 away games had three or more goals.
Against
- At home, Heart of Midlothian saw three or more goals in 5 of 5 games.
- 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings had three or more goals.
- There are outliers: one of these games recently had 5 goals.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals · Odds 1.55 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: Heart of Midlothian vs Falkirk
When do Heart of Midlothian play Falkirk?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 08/11/2026, at 16:00 (Scottish Premiership).
Who are the favourites in Heart of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
Heart of Midlothian are clear favourites: a home win pays 1.57, a Falkirk win 4.60.
What is the tip for Heart of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.55. We expect a 1-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Heart of Midlothian and Falkirk go?
Record in the last 5 meetings: 4 wins for Heart of Midlothian, 1 for Falkirk, 0 draws. There were 2.4 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 2-1 (Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian, 15/09/2026).
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