J1 League · Sunday, 08/11/2026 · 07:00
Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Gamba Osaka · Cerezo Osaka
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
It is Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka on Sunday (8 November, 07:00).
The situation: Gamba Osaka are in a relegation battle – Cerezo Osaka have gone 8 games without a win
Cerezo Osaka are in position 8 with 39 points, ahead of the hosts (28 points, position 14). Goal difference: 34-36 for Gamba Osaka, 39-36 for Cerezo Osaka. Gamba Osaka are just one point above the relegation zone. Cerezo Osaka have nothing left to play for in the table.
Form guide Gamba Osaka: Inconsistent at home
Recent home defeats came against Vissel Kobe (0-1) and Tokyo (0-2). Against Kyoto Sanga (2-2) they could only draw. Gamba Osaka picked up 1 win from their last 5 home games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
Form guide Cerezo Osaka: Winless on the road
On the road, Cerezo Osaka recently played 1-4 at Kashima Antlers, 1-1 at Nagoya Grampus and 1-1 at V-Varen Nagasaki. Record in the last 5 away games: no wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats, 4-13 goals. Cerezo Osaka scored in 4 of those 5 games.
Gamba Osaka at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Cerezo Osaka away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Evenly matched record
Record in the last 3 meetings: 1 win for Gamba Osaka, 2 for Cerezo Osaka, 0 draws. There were 3.0 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 0-1 (Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka, 11/04/2026).
- 11/04/2026 Gamba Osaka – Cerezo Osaka 0-1
- 05/07/2025 Cerezo Osaka – Gamba Osaka 0-1
- 14/02/2025 Gamba Osaka – Cerezo Osaka 2-5
Injuries and suspensions
Gamba Osaka are without: Riku Handa (cruciate ligament injury), Asahi Uenaka (meniscus injury), Rui Araki (fracture), Kanji Okunuki (foot injury), Genta Miura (knee injury).
Cerezo Osaka are without: Masaya Shibayama (knee injury), Go Kambayashi (shoulder injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
J1 League table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 39-30 | 44 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 26 | 42-40 | 40 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 39-36 | 39 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 26 | 36-41 | 36 |
| 10 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 26 | 41-35 | 35 |
| 12 | Nagoya Grampus | 25 | 36-46 | 30 |
| 13 | Tokyo Verdy | 25 | 23-39 | 30 |
| 14 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 34-36 | 28 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 26 | 30-40 | 28 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 25 | 32-46 | 28 |
Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka odds
Cerezo Osaka are slight favourites: an away win pays 1.65, a draw 4.00, a home win 4.00. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.62.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka to win | 4.00 | 23% | 33% |
| Draw | 4.00 | 23% | 23% |
| Cerezo Osaka to win | 1.65 | 55% | 44% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.40 | 45% | 56% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.62 | 77% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 78% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 56% | 56% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.10 | 44% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.60 | 35% | 35% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.40 | 65% | 65% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka
In short: We are backing Double chance 1X at odds of 1.40. Our score prediction: 1-1. We put the chance at around 71%. The odds reflect that quite accurately, so this tip is no bargain.
For
- Cerezo Osaka lost 3 of their last 5 away games.
Against
- Gamba Osaka have already lost 2 times at home in their last 5 games.
- The head-to-head tends to favour Cerezo Osaka (2-1 in wins).
- Gamba Osaka are without 5 players.
Tip: Double chance 1X · Odds 1.40 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk low
FAQ: Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka
When do Gamba Osaka play Cerezo Osaka?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 08/11/2026, at 07:00 (J1 League).
Who are the favourites in Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?
Cerezo Osaka are favourites: an away win pays 1.65, a home win 4.00.
What is the tip for Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our tip is Double chance 1X at odds of 1.40. We expect a 1-1. Risk: low.
How did recent meetings between Gamba Osaka and Cerezo Osaka go?
Record in the last 3 meetings: 1 win for Gamba Osaka, 2 for Cerezo Osaka, 0 draws. There were 3.0 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 0-1 (Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka, 11/04/2026).
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