J1 League · Saturday, 07/11/2026 · 07:00
FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: FC Tokyo · Kashima Antlers
Full time 2-0 · Tip “Over 2.5 goals” lost
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
5 home games, 4 wins, 12-0 goals. Tokyo are hard to beat at home. On Saturday (7 November, 07:00), Kashima Antlers visit.
The situation: Tokyo are in the title race – Kashima Antlers are fighting for the AFC places
Kashima Antlers are in position 3 with 50 points, ahead of the hosts (49 points, position 4). Goal difference: 50-23 for Tokyo, 46-31 for Kashima Antlers. Tokyo are just one point off first place. Kashima Antlers are just 2 points off a Champions League place.
Form guide Tokyo: Solid at the back
Recent home wins came against Mito (6-0) and Urawa Red Diamonds (3-0). Against Kashiwa Reysol (0-0) they could only draw. Tokyo picked up 4 wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 0.0 conceded.
Form guide Kashima Antlers: Inconsistent on the road
On the road, Kashima Antlers recently played 2-2 at Kyoto Sanga, 3-3 at Kawasaki Frontale and 1-2 at Vissel Kobe. Record in the last 5 away games: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats, 10-11 goals. Kashima Antlers scored in every one of those games.
Tokyo at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Kashima Antlers away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Kashima Antlers struggle against Tokyo
Record in the last 3 meetings: no wins for Tokyo, 3 for Kashima Antlers, 0 draws. There were only 1.3 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 1-0 (Kashima Antlers vs Tokyo, 23/05/2026).
- 23/05/2026 Kashima Antlers – FC Tokyo 1-0
- 10/08/2025 FC Tokyo – Kashima Antlers 0-1
- 01/03/2025 Kashima Antlers – FC Tokyo 2-0
Injuries and suspensions
Tokyo are without: Nicolai Vallys (cruciate ligament injury), Kento Hashimoto (fracture), Shion Homma (thigh injury), Sei Muroya (calf injury), Yuto Nagatomo (cruciate ligament injury).
Kashima Antlers are without: Tae-hyeon Kim (fracture), Koki Anzai (cruciate ligament injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
J1 League table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 25 | 53-22 | 53 |
| 2 | Machida Zelvia | 24 | 47-19 | 53 |
| 3 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 46-31 | 50 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 50-23 | 49 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 39-30 | 44 |
| 6 | Kashiwa Reysol | 25 | 45-33 | 43 |
Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers odds
Tokyo go in as favourites: the home win is priced at 1.95, a draw 3.30 and a Kashima Antlers win 3.40. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.62.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tokyo to win | 1.95 | 46% | 47% |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27% | 25% |
| Kashima Antlers to win | 3.40 | 26% | 28% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.20 | 74% | 72% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.77 | 54% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 78% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 56% | 61% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.10 | 44% | 39% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.50 | 37% | 40% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.45 | 63% | 60% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers
In short: We are backing Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.62. Our score prediction: 2-1. We put the chance at around 61%, while the odds imply only 56%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- 2 of Tokyo’s last 5 home games produced three or more goals.
- For Kashima Antlers away it was 4 of 5.
Against
- Tokyo kept 5 clean sheets at home.
- Head-to-head meetings have been low-scoring: 0 of 3 with three or more goals.
- Tokyo are without 5 players.
Tip: Over 2.5 goals · Odds 1.62 · Prediction 2-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers
When do Tokyo play Kashima Antlers?
Kick-off is on Saturday, 07/11/2026, at 07:00 (J1 League).
Who are the favourites in Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers?
Tokyo are favourites: a home win pays 1.95, a Kashima Antlers win 3.40.
What is the tip for Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers?
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.62. We expect a 2-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Tokyo and Kashima Antlers go?
Record in the last 3 meetings: no wins for Tokyo, 3 for Kashima Antlers, 0 draws. There were only 1.3 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 1-0 (Kashima Antlers vs Tokyo, 23/05/2026).
All tips for 7 November 2026 · Today's betting tips · All J1 League tips · Today's odds · Instagram