3. Liga · Saturday, 07/11/2026 · 14:00
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: FC Ingolstadt 04 · Fortuna Düsseldorf
Full time 3-2 · Tip “Under 3.5 goals” lost
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
On Saturday (7 November, 14:00), Ingolstadt host Fortuna Düsseldorf.
The situation: Ingolstadt are chasing promotion – Fortuna Düsseldorf are in a relegation battle
Ingolstadt are in position 7 with 18 points, Fortuna Düsseldorf follow in position 10 with 16 points. Goal difference: 16-17 for Ingolstadt, 12-14 for Fortuna Düsseldorf. Ingolstadt are 6 points off a promotion place. Fortuna Düsseldorf are just 4 points above the relegation zone.
Form guide Ingolstadt: Home form is a problem
Recent home wins came against MSV Duisburg (2-1) and Rot-Weiss Essen (1-0). There was also a defeat against Wehen Wiesbaden (2-4). Ingolstadt picked up 2 wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded.
Form guide Fortuna Düsseldorf: Inconsistent on the road
On the road, Fortuna Düsseldorf recently played 1-1 at Hansa Rostock, 2-1 at Preußen Münster and 0-1 at Alemannia Aachen. Record in the last 5 away games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat, 5-4 goals. Fortuna Düsseldorf scored in 3 of those 5 games.
Ingolstadt at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Fortuna Düsseldorf away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Ingolstadt vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
The two sides have not met in the league in the last two seasons, so form and the table matter most here.
Injuries and suspensions
Ingolstadt are without: Mason Toye (knee injury), Ognjen Drakulic (injury).
Fortuna Düsseldorf are without: Jordi Paulina (knee injury), Dominique Heintz (thigh injury), Anas Slimani (foot injury), Lukas Eixler (tendon injury), Felix Meiser (meniscus injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – 3. Liga: 3. Liga goalscorer tips.
3. Liga table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Alemannia Aachen | 12 | 19-18 | 20 |
| 6 | SV Wehen Wiesbaden | 12 | 23-17 | 18 |
| 7 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 12 | 16-17 | 18 |
| 8 | SV Waldhof Mannheim | 12 | 21-19 | 16 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II | 12 | 21-20 | 16 |
| 10 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 12 | 12-14 | 16 |
| 11 | Hansa Rostock | 12 | 19-22 | 16 |
| 12 | SV Meppen | 12 | 16-17 | 15 |
Ingolstadt vs Fortuna Düsseldorf odds
The bookmakers expect a close game. Home win 2.65, draw 3.50 and a Fortuna Düsseldorf win 2.45. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.65.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt to win | 2.65 | 35% | 34% |
| Draw | 3.50 | 27% | 26% |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf to win | 2.45 | 38% | 40% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.45 | 62% | 60% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.45 | 65% | 66% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 79% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 57% | 55% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 43% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.60 | 36% | 33% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.45 | 64% | 67% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Ingolstadt vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
In short: Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.45. We expect a 1-1. We put the chance at around 67%, while the odds imply only 64%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- Only 2 of Fortuna Düsseldorf’s last 5 away games had three or more goals.
Against
- At home, Ingolstadt saw three or more goals in 4 of 5 games.
- There are outliers: one of these games recently had 6 goals.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals · Odds 1.45 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: Ingolstadt vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
When do Ingolstadt play Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Kick-off is on Saturday, 07/11/2026, at 14:00 (3. Liga).
Who are the favourites in Ingolstadt vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Fortuna Düsseldorf are favourites: an away win pays 2.45, a home win 2.65.
What is the tip for Ingolstadt vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.45. We expect a 1-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Ingolstadt and Fortuna Düsseldorf go?
The two sides have not met in the league in the last two seasons, so form and the table matter most here.
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