Bundesliga · Saturday, 07/11/2026 · 15:30
Borussia Dortmund vs SV 07 Elversberg Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Borussia Dortmund · SV 07 Elversberg
Full time 2-1 · Tip “Under 3.5 goals” won
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
On Saturday (7 November, 15:30), Borussia Dortmund face Elversberg in front of their own fans.
The situation: Borussia Dortmund are in the title race – Elversberg are chasing Europe
Borussia Dortmund are in position 2 with 18 points, Elversberg follow in position 7 with 13 points. Goal difference: 14-6 for Borussia Dortmund, 16-16 for Elversberg. Borussia Dortmund are level on points with first place. Elversberg are level on points with a Conference League place.
Form guide Borussia Dortmund: Strong at home
Recent home wins came against Eintracht Frankfurt (1-0) and Paderborn (3-0). Against Werder Bremen (2-2) they could only draw. Borussia Dortmund picked up 3 wins from their last 4 home games, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded.
Form guide Elversberg: Inconsistent on the road
On the road, Elversberg recently played 0-4 at Leipzig, 0-1 at Union Berlin and 0-0 at Schalke. Record in the last 4 away games: 1 win, 1 draw, 2 defeats, 4-8 goals. Elversberg scored in only 1 of those 4 games.
Borussia Dortmund at home, last 4 (oldest → newest)
Elversberg away, last 4 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Borussia Dortmund vs Elversberg
The two sides have not met in the league in the last two seasons, so form and the table matter most here.
Injuries and suspensions
Borussia Dortmund are without: Serhou Guirassy (thigh injury), Giannis Konstantelias (cruciate ligament injury), Justin Lerma (muscle injury), Emre Can (cruciate ligament injury), Mussa Kaba (shoulder injury).
Elversberg are without: Noah Darvich (muscle injury), Tom Zimmerschied (ankle injury), Jan Gyamerah (injury), Luis Seifert (ankle injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Bundesliga: Bundesliga goalscorer tips.
Bundesliga table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 27-8 | 18 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 14-6 | 18 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 18-10 | 16 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 22-11 | 15 |
| 5 | SV Werder Bremen | 8 | 17-14 | 15 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 18-16 | 13 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 8 | 16-16 | 13 |
| 8 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 10-20 | 12 |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 13-18 | 11 |
Borussia Dortmund vs Elversberg odds
The bookmakers make Borussia Dortmund clear favourites. A home win pays just 1.45, a draw 3.80 and a Elversberg win 7.50. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.33.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund to win | 1.45 | 63% | 63% |
| Draw | 3.80 | 24% | 23% |
| Elversberg to win | 7.50 | 12% | 14% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.07 | 88% | 86% |
| Double chance X2 | 3.20 | 37% | 37% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.07 | 87% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.33 | 71% | 66% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.20 | 29% | 34% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.83 | 51% | 45% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.90 | 49% | 55% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Borussia Dortmund vs Elversberg
In short: Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.90. We expect a 2-0. We put the chance at around 55%, while the odds imply only 49%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- Only 2 of Borussia Dortmund’s last 4 home games had three or more goals.
- Only 2 of Elversberg’s last 4 away games had three or more goals.
Against
- There are outliers: one of these games recently had 7 goals.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals · Odds 1.90 · Prediction 2-0 · Risk medium
FAQ: Borussia Dortmund vs Elversberg
When do Borussia Dortmund play Elversberg?
Kick-off is on Saturday, 07/11/2026, at 15:30 (Bundesliga).
Who are the favourites in Borussia Dortmund vs Elversberg?
Borussia Dortmund are clear favourites: a home win pays 1.45, a Elversberg win 7.50.
What is the tip for Borussia Dortmund vs Elversberg?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.90. We expect a 2-0. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Borussia Dortmund and Elversberg go?
The two sides have not met in the league in the last two seasons, so form and the table matter most here.
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