Chinese Super League · Sunday, 08/11/2026 · 08:30
Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Beijing Guoan · Chongqing Tonglianglong
Full time 1-0 · Tip “Under 3.5 goals” won
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
On Sunday (8 November, 08:30), Beijing Guoan face Chongqing Tonglianglong in front of their own fans.
The situation: Beijing Guoan have won 3 games in a row – Chongqing Tonglianglong are fighting for the AFC places
After 29 games, Beijing Guoan are in position 1 with 52 points. Chongqing Tonglianglong have collected 36 points and sit in position 11. Goal difference: 57-36 for Beijing Guoan, 31-34 for Chongqing Tonglianglong. Beijing Guoan currently occupy first place, but only 3 points clear. Chongqing Tonglianglong are 14 points off a AFC place.
Form guide Beijing Guoan: Strong at home
Recent home wins came against Qingdao West Coast (1-0) and Shenzhen Peng City (4-0). Against Yunnan Yukun (3-3) they could only draw. Beijing Guoan picked up 3 wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
Form guide Chongqing Tonglianglong: Winless on the road
On the road, Chongqing Tonglianglong recently played 1-1 at Yunnan Yukun, 1-1 at Henan and 0-0 at Qingdao West Coast. Record in the last 5 away games: no wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats, 2-5 goals. Chongqing Tonglianglong scored in only 2 of those 5 games.
Beijing Guoan at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Chongqing Tonglianglong away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Goals expected
The only meeting in the last two seasons ended 2-3 to Beijing Guoan (Chongqing vs Beijing Guoan, 30/05/2026).
- 30/05/2026 Chongqing – Beijing Guoan 2-3
Injuries and suspensions
Beijing Guoan are without: Fabio Abreu (thigh injury), Uros Spajic (cruciate ligament injury), Shaocong Wu (physical problems), Jiaqi Han (ligament injury), Yupeng He (fracture).
Chongqing Tonglianglong are without: Zhenquan Li (ankle injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Chinese Super League table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beijing Guoan | 29 | 57-36 | 52 |
| 2 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 29 | 51-35 | 52 |
| 3 | Shandong Taishan | 29 | 57-47 | 50 |
| 9 | Zhejiang Professional | 29 | 51-54 | 39 |
| 10 | Qingdao West Coast | 29 | 32-38 | 39 |
| 11 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 29 | 31-34 | 36 |
| 12 | Henan FC | 30 | 39-43 | 35 |
| 13 | Shenzhen Peng City | 29 | 39-51 | 32 |
Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong odds
The bookmakers make Beijing Guoan clear favourites. A home win pays just 1.14, a draw 6.70 and a Chongqing Tonglianglong win 12.00. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.33.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beijing Guoan to win | 1.14 | 79% | 67% |
| Draw | 6.70 | 13% | 19% |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong to win | 12.00 | 8% | 14% |
| Double chance X2 | 4.40 | 21% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.07 | 85% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.33 | 69% | 59% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.90 | 31% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.83 | 50% | 39% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.83 | 50% | 61% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong
In short: We are backing Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.72. Our score prediction: 1-0. We put the chance at around 63%, while the odds imply only 53%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- Only 0 of Chongqing Tonglianglong’s last 5 away games had three or more goals.
Against
- At home, Beijing Guoan saw three or more goals in 3 of 5 games.
- There are outliers: one of these games recently had 6 goals.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals · Odds 1.72 · Prediction 1-0 · Risk medium
FAQ: Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong
When do Beijing Guoan play Chongqing Tonglianglong?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 08/11/2026, at 08:30 (Chinese Super League).
Who are the favourites in Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong?
Beijing Guoan are clear favourites: a home win pays 1.14, a Chongqing Tonglianglong win 12.00.
What is the tip for Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.72. We expect a 1-0. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Beijing Guoan and Chongqing Tonglianglong go?
The only meeting in the last two seasons ended 2-3 to Beijing Guoan (Chongqing vs Beijing Guoan, 30/05/2026).
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