J1 League · Saturday, 07/11/2026 · 07:00
Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Avispa Fukuoka · V-Varen Nagasaki
Full time 1-1 · Tip “Double chance X2” won
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
V-Varen Nagasaki have taken just 1 point from their last 5 away games. On Saturday (7 November, 07:00), they travel to Avispa Fukuoka.
The situation: Avispa Fukuoka have gone 4 games without a win – V-Varen Nagasaki are in a relegation battle
After 25 games, Avispa Fukuoka are in position 17 with 26 points. V-Varen Nagasaki have collected 27 points and sit in position 14. Goal difference: 30-41 for Avispa Fukuoka, 29-39 for V-Varen Nagasaki. Avispa Fukuoka are just 0 points above the relegation zone. V-Varen Nagasaki are just one point above the relegation zone.
Form guide Avispa Fukuoka: Home form is a problem
At home they recently beat Fagiano Okayama (2-1). There were also defeats against Gamba Osaka (1-2) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima (0-1). Avispa Fukuoka picked up 1 win from their last 5 home games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
Form guide V-Varen Nagasaki: A problem on the road
On the road, V-Varen Nagasaki recently played 0-1 at Urawa Red Diamonds, 0-2 at Kashima Antlers and 1-1 at JEF United Chiba. Record in the last 5 away games: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats, 4-11 goals. V-Varen Nagasaki scored in 3 of those 5 games.
Avispa Fukuoka at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
V-Varen Nagasaki away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Rarely many goals
The only meeting in the last two seasons ended 1-0 to Avispa Fukuoka (Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki, 11/04/2026).
- 11/04/2026 Avispa Fukuoka – V-Varen Nagasaki 1-0
Injuries and suspensions
Avispa Fukuoka are without: Kazuki Fukushima (meniscus injury).
V-Varen Nagasaki are without: Norman Campbell (thigh injury), Keita Takahata (knee injury), Takumi Nagura (illness), Luka Radotic (meniscus injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
J1 League table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 36-44 | 30 |
| 13 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 34-36 | 28 |
| 14 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 25 | 29-39 | 27 |
| 15 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 23-39 | 27 |
| 16 | Tokyo Verdy | 24 | 22-39 | 27 |
| 17 | Avispa Fukuoka | 25 | 30-41 | 26 |
| 18 | Kyoto Sanga | 24 | 30-46 | 25 |
| 19 | Mito | 24 | 24-48 | 18 |
Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki odds
V-Varen Nagasaki are slight favourites: an away win pays 1.95, a draw 3.40, a home win 3.30. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.93.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka to win | 3.30 | 27% | 37% |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26% | 26% |
| V-Varen Nagasaki to win | 1.95 | 46% | 37% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.33 | 54% | 63% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.65 | 73% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 72% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 47% | 46% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 53% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 28% | 27% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.27 | 72% | 73% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki
In short: Our tip is Double chance X2 at odds of 1.65. We expect a 1-1. We put the chance at around 63%. The odds reflect that quite accurately, so this tip is no bargain.
For
- Avispa Fukuoka lost 3 of their last 5 home games.
Against
- The head-to-head favours Avispa Fukuoka (1-0 in wins).
- V-Varen Nagasaki are missing 4 players.
Tip: Double chance X2 · Odds 1.65 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki
When do Avispa Fukuoka play V-Varen Nagasaki?
Kick-off is on Saturday, 07/11/2026, at 07:00 (J1 League).
Who are the favourites in Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
V-Varen Nagasaki are favourites: an away win pays 1.95, a home win 3.30.
What is the tip for Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
Our tip is Double chance X2 at odds of 1.65. We expect a 1-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Avispa Fukuoka and V-Varen Nagasaki go?
The only meeting in the last two seasons ended 1-0 to Avispa Fukuoka (Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki, 11/04/2026).
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