Saudi Pro League · Saturday, 07/11/2026 · 18:30
Al Ahli SFC vs Al Taawoun Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Al Ahli SFC · Al Taawoun
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
4 home games, 4 wins, 16-2 goals. Al Ahli are hard to beat at home. On Saturday (7 November, 18:30), Al Taawoun visit.
The situation: Al Ahli are fighting for the AFC places – Al Taawoun have gone 8 games without a win
After 11 games, Al Ahli are in position 6 with 21 points. Al Taawoun have collected 5 points and sit in position 17. Goal difference: 28-19 for Al Ahli, 6-20 for Al Taawoun. Al Ahli are 7 points off a Champions League place. Al Taawoun are currently in the relegation zone.
Form guide Al Ahli: A force at home
Recent home wins came against Al Khaleej (4-1), Al-Hazem (3-1) and Al Riyadh (5-0). Al Ahli picked up 4 wins from their last 4 home games, averaging 4.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded.
Form guide Al Taawoun: A problem on the road
On the road, Al Taawoun recently played 1-2 at Al Riyadh, 1-1 at Al Diriyah and 0-3 at Al-Shabab. Record in the last 5 away games: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats, 3-9 goals. Al Taawoun scored in 3 of those 5 games.
Al Ahli at home, last 4 (oldest → newest)
Al Taawoun away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Evenly matched record
Record in the last 2 meetings: 2 wins for Al Ahli, 0 for Al Taawoun, 0 draws. There were 3.0 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 1-2 (Al Taawoun vs Al Ahli, 11/05/2026).
- 11/05/2026 Al Taawoun – Al Ahli SFC 1-2
- 14/01/2026 Al Ahli SFC – Al Taawoun 2-1
Injuries and suspensions
Al Ahli are without: Zakaria Hawsawi (cruciate ligament injury), Saleh Abu Al-Shamat (shoulder injury).
Al Taawoun are without: Oscar (thigh injury), Muteb Al-Mufarrij (adductor injury), Bassam Al-Hurayji (ankle injury), Abdulrahman Hindi (adductor injury), Saif Rajab (shoulder injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Saudi Pro League: Saudi Pro League goalscorer tips.
Saudi Pro League table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 11 | 21-11 | 24 |
| 5 | NEOM SC | 12 | 18-10 | 22 |
| 6 | Al Ahli SFC | 11 | 28-19 | 21 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 12 | 18-17 | 19 |
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 12 | 10-13 | 15 |
| 15 | Al Faisaly | 12 | 13-24 | 10 |
| 16 | Al Fateh | 12 | 10-25 | 6 |
| 17 | Al Taawoun | 12 | 6-20 | 5 |
| 18 | Abha Club | 11 | 7-19 | 3 |
Al Ahli vs Al Taawoun odds
The bookmakers make Al Ahli clear favourites. A home win pays just 1.40, a draw 4.80 and a Al Taawoun win 5.70.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahli to win | 1.40 | 65% | 69% |
| Draw | 4.80 | 19% | 17% |
| Al Taawoun to win | 5.70 | 16% | 14% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Al Ahli vs Al Taawoun
In short: Our tip is Home win at odds of 1.40. We expect a 2-0. We put the chance at around 69%, while the odds imply only 65%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- Al Ahli won 4 of their last 4 home games.
- Al Taawoun lost 4 of their last 5 away games.
- 11 places apart in the table.
- Head-to-head: 2-0 in wins for Al Ahli.
Against
- A draw is not enough for this tip.
- Al Ahli are without 2 players.
Tip: Home win · Odds 1.40 · Prediction 2-0 · Risk medium
FAQ: Al Ahli vs Al Taawoun
When do Al Ahli play Al Taawoun?
Kick-off is on Saturday, 07/11/2026, at 18:30 (Saudi Pro League).
Who are the favourites in Al Ahli vs Al Taawoun?
Al Ahli are clear favourites: a home win pays 1.40, a Al Taawoun win 5.70.
What is the tip for Al Ahli vs Al Taawoun?
Our tip is Home win at odds of 1.40. We expect a 2-0. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Al Ahli and Al Taawoun go?
Record in the last 2 meetings: 2 wins for Al Ahli, 0 for Al Taawoun, 0 draws. There were 3.0 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 1-2 (Al Taawoun vs Al Ahli, 11/05/2026).
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