Belgian Pro League · Sunday, 08/11/2026 · 18:30
Union SG vs Genk Prediction, Tips & Odds
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
It is Union vs Genk on Sunday (8 November, 18:30).
The situation: Union are on course for Europe – Genk are chasing Europe
After 10 games, Union are in position 3 with 26 points. Genk have collected 15 points and sit in position 7. Goal difference: 29-7 for Union, 18-14 for Genk. Union currently occupy a Champions League place, 11 points clear. Genk are just one point off a Champions League place.
Form guide Union: Strong at home
Recent home wins came against Cercle Brugge (5-2) and Lommel (5-0). Against OH Leuven (1-1) they could only draw. Union picked up 3 wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded.
Form guide Genk: Winless on the road
On the road, Genk recently played 0-1 at Mechelen, 0-3 at Brugge and 0-0 at Anderlecht. Record in the last 5 away games: no wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats, 5-10 goals. Genk scored in only 2 of those 5 games.
Union at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Genk away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Evenly matched record
Record in the last 2 meetings: 2 wins for Union, 0 for Genk, 0 draws. There were 3.0 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 2-1 (Union vs Genk, 07/03/2026).
- 07/03/2026 Union SG – Genk 2-1
- 21/09/2025 Genk – Union SG 1-2
Injuries and suspensions
Union are without: Kevin Mac Allister (cruciate ligament injury), Mateo Biondić (ankle injury), Ondrej Kricfalusi (bruising), Rob Schoofs (bruising), Ilan Hurtevent (bruising).
Genk are without: Ken Nkuba (knee injury), Kenan Haroun (cruciate ligament injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Belgian Pro League: Belgian Pro League goalscorer tips.
Belgian Pro League table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Brugge | 10 | 26-8 | 27 |
| 2 | Charleroi | 11 | 26-13 | 27 |
| 3 | Union SG | 10 | 29-7 | 26 |
| 4 | Gent | 10 | 19-6 | 25 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 10 | 13-11 | 19 |
| 6 | Lommel | 11 | 15-13 | 16 |
| 7 | Genk | 10 | 18-14 | 15 |
| 8 | Standard Lüttich | 11 | 18-16 | 15 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 11 | 26-30 | 14 |
Union vs Genk odds
The bookmakers make Union clear favourites. A home win pays just 1.55, a draw 4.30 and a Genk win 5.20. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.55.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union to win | 1.55 | 60% | 63% |
| Draw | 4.30 | 22% | 20% |
| Genk to win | 5.20 | 18% | 17% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.10 | 82% | 83% |
| Double chance X2 | 2.40 | 40% | 37% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 81% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 61% | 62% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.40 | 39% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.30 | 40% | 40% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.55 | 60% | 60% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Union vs Genk
In short: Our tip is Home win at odds of 1.55. We expect a 2-0. We put the chance at around 63%, while the odds imply only 60%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- Union won 3 of their last 5 home games.
- Genk lost 3 of their last 5 away games.
- 4 places apart in the table.
- Head-to-head: 2-0 in wins for Union.
Against
- A draw is not enough for this tip.
- Union are without 5 players.
Tip: Home win · Odds 1.55 · Prediction 2-0 · Risk medium
FAQ: Union vs Genk
When do Union play Genk?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 08/11/2026, at 18:30 (Belgian Pro League).
Who are the favourites in Union vs Genk?
Union are clear favourites: a home win pays 1.55, a Genk win 5.20.
What is the tip for Union vs Genk?
Our tip is Home win at odds of 1.55. We expect a 2-0. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Union and Genk go?
Record in the last 2 meetings: 2 wins for Union, 0 for Genk, 0 draws. There were 3.0 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 2-1 (Union vs Genk, 07/03/2026).
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