Championship · Saturday, 07/11/2026 · 13:30
Portsmouth vs Stoke City Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Portsmouth · Stoke City
Full time 1-2 · Tip “Double chance X2” won
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
5 home games, 4 wins, 12-6 goals. Portsmouth are hard to beat at home. On Saturday (7 November, 13:30), Stoke City visit.
The situation: Portsmouth are fighting for the play-offs – Stoke City are chasing promotion
Stoke City are in position 5 with 26 points, ahead of the hosts (22 points, position 10). Goal difference: 19-16 for Portsmouth, 22-17 for Stoke City. Portsmouth are 6 points off a play-off place. Stoke City are level on points with a promotion place.
Form guide Portsmouth: Strong at home
Recent home wins came against Swansea City (3-1), Millwall (2-1) and Sheffield United (3-2). Portsmouth picked up 4 wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
Form guide Stoke City: Strong away too
On the road, Stoke City recently played 2-1 at Blackburn Rovers, 1-0 at Derby County and 2-1 at Bolton Wanderers. Record in the last 5 away games: 4 wins, 1 draw, no defeats, 8-4 goals. Stoke City scored in every one of those games.
Portsmouth at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Stoke City away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Evenly matched record
Record in the last 2 meetings: 1 win for Portsmouth, 1 for Stoke City, 0 draws. There were 2.5 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 1-3 (Stoke vs Portsmouth, 25/04/2026).
- 25/04/2026 Stoke – Portsmouth 1-3
- 25/10/2025 Portsmouth – Stoke 0-1
Injuries and suspensions
Portsmouth are without: Mark Kosznovszky (knee injury), Franco Umeh (tendon injury).
Stoke City are without: Junior Tchamadeu (knee injury), Eric-Junior Bocat (knee injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Championship: Championship goalscorer tips.
Championship table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 14 | 25-17 | 27 |
| 4 | Birmingham City | 14 | 26-13 | 26 |
| 5 | Stoke City | 14 | 22-17 | 26 |
| 6 | Swansea City | 14 | 21-16 | 26 |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion | 14 | 20-15 | 25 |
| 8 | West Ham United | 14 | 36-21 | 23 |
| 9 | Sheffield United | 14 | 20-17 | 22 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 14 | 19-16 | 22 |
| 11 | Queens Park Rangers | 14 | 22-17 | 21 |
| 12 | Norwich City | 14 | 27-24 | 18 |
Portsmouth vs Stoke City odds
Portsmouth go in as favourites: the home win is priced at 2.20, a draw 3.10 and a Stoke City win 3.10. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.00.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth to win | 2.20 | 41% | 42% |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29% | 27% |
| Stoke City to win | 3.10 | 29% | 31% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.32 | 71% | 69% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.47 | 59% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 69% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 46% | 52% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 54% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.60 | 25% | 31% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.22 | 75% | 69% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Portsmouth vs Stoke City
In short: Our tip is Double chance X2 at odds of 1.47. We expect a 1-1. We put the chance at around 58%. The odds reflect that quite accurately, so this tip is no bargain.
For
- Stoke City won 4 of their last 5 away games.
- 5 places apart in the table, in favour of the visitors.
Against
- Portsmouth won 4 of their last 5 home games.
- Stoke City are missing 2 players.
Tip: Double chance X2 · Odds 1.47 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: Portsmouth vs Stoke City
When do Portsmouth play Stoke City?
Kick-off is on Saturday, 07/11/2026, at 13:30 (Championship).
Who are the favourites in Portsmouth vs Stoke City?
Portsmouth are favourites: a home win pays 2.20, a Stoke City win 3.10.
What is the tip for Portsmouth vs Stoke City?
Our tip is Double chance X2 at odds of 1.47. We expect a 1-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Portsmouth and Stoke City go?
Record in the last 2 meetings: 1 win for Portsmouth, 1 for Stoke City, 0 draws. There were 2.5 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 1-3 (Stoke vs Portsmouth, 25/04/2026).
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