Serie B · Saturday, 07/11/2026 · 15:00
Padova vs Empoli Prediction, Tips & Odds
Full time 2-2 · Tip “Home win” lost
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
On Saturday (7 November, 15:00), Padova host Empoli.
The situation: Padova are fighting for the play-offs – Empoli have gone 7 games without a win
Padova are in position 10 with 14 points, Empoli follow in position 18 with 8 points. Goal difference: 10-11 for Padova, 10-17 for Empoli. Padova are just one point off a play-off place. Empoli are currently in the relegation zone.
Form guide Padova: Inconsistent at home
At home they recently beat Südtirol (2-0). There were also defeats against Virtus Entella (1-2) and Carrarese (0-2). Padova picked up 2 wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
Form guide Empoli: Inconsistent on the road
On the road, Empoli recently played 1-2 at Cesena, 1-1 at Ascoli and 1-2 at Modena. Record in the last 5 away games: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats, 5-8 goals. Empoli scored in every one of those games.
Padova at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Empoli away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Padova vs Empoli
The two sides have not met in the league in the last two seasons, so form and the table matter most here.
Injuries and suspensions
Padova are without: Luca Zanimacchia (foot injury), Giovanni Giunti (suspended), Gianluca Caprari (foot injury), Kevin Lasagna (thigh injury).
Empoli have no known absentees.
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Serie B: Serie B goalscorer tips.
Serie B table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pisa | 10 | 18-15 | 15 |
| 9 | Südtirol | 10 | 11-10 | 14 |
| 10 | Padova | 10 | 10-11 | 14 |
| 11 | Juve Stabia | 10 | 11-11 | 13 |
| 12 | Cremonese | 10 | 10-11 | 12 |
| 16 | Carrarese | 10 | 9-13 | 10 |
| 17 | Vicenza | 10 | 13-20 | 9 |
| 18 | Empoli | 10 | 10-17 | 8 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 10 | 10-18 | 8 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 10 | 11-22 | 6 |
Padova vs Empoli odds
The bookmakers make Padova clear favourites. A home win pays just 1.40, a draw 3.60 and a Empoli win 8.50. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.85.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padova to win | 1.40 | 64% | 55% |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25% | 26% |
| Empoli to win | 8.50 | 11% | 18% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.20 | 89% | 82% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.70 | 36% | 45% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 73% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 49% | 47% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 51% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 27% | 25% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.25 | 73% | 75% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Padova vs Empoli
In short: We are backing Home win at odds of 1.40. Our score prediction: 1-0. We put the chance at around 55%. The odds reflect that quite accurately, so this tip is no bargain.
For
- Empoli lost 3 of their last 5 away games.
- 8 places apart in the table.
Against
- Padova have already lost 2 times at home in their last 5 games.
- A draw is not enough for this tip.
- Padova are without 4 players.
Tip: Home win · Odds 1.40 · Prediction 1-0 · Risk medium
FAQ: Padova vs Empoli
When do Padova play Empoli?
Kick-off is on Saturday, 07/11/2026, at 15:00 (Serie B).
Who are the favourites in Padova vs Empoli?
Padova are clear favourites: a home win pays 1.40, a Empoli win 8.50.
What is the tip for Padova vs Empoli?
Our tip is Home win at odds of 1.40. We expect a 1-0. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Padova and Empoli go?
The two sides have not met in the league in the last two seasons, so form and the table matter most here.
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