Liga MX · Monday, 09/11/2026 · 03:10
León vs CD Guadalajara Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: León · CD Guadalajara
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
On Monday (9 November, 03:10), León host Guadalajara.
The situation: León are on course for the play-offs – Guadalajara have won 3 games in a row
After 15 games, León are in position 9 with 22 points. Guadalajara have collected 29 points and sit in position 2. Goal difference: 22-20 for León, 25-14 for Guadalajara. León currently occupy a play-off place, but only 2 points clear. Guadalajara have already secured their season target.
Form guide León: Strong at home
At home they recently beat Juárez (2-1). There was also a defeat against América (3-5). Against Toluca (1-1) they could only draw. León picked up 3 wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
Form guide Guadalajara: Hard to beat away
On the road, Guadalajara recently played 1-0 at Monterrey, 1-1 at Atlas and 2-2 at América. Record in the last 5 away games: 2 wins, 3 draws, no defeats, 8-4 goals. Guadalajara scored in every one of those games.
León at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Guadalajara away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: León vs Guadalajara
The two sides have not met in the league in the last two seasons, so form and the table matter most here.
Injuries and suspensions
León are without: Valentín Gauthier (ankle injury).
Guadalajara have no known absentees.
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Liga MX: Liga MX goalscorer tips.
Liga MX table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | América | 15 | 36-21 | 29 |
| 2 | CD Guadalajara | 15 | 25-14 | 29 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 15 | 34-24 | 29 |
| 4 | Toluca | 16 | 35-21 | 27 |
| 7 | Pachuca | 16 | 29-20 | 22 |
| 8 | Tijuana | 16 | 25-22 | 22 |
| 9 | León | 15 | 22-20 | 22 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | 26-25 | 21 |
| 11 | Pumas UNAM | 15 | 22-24 | 20 |
León vs Guadalajara odds
Guadalajara are slight favourites: an away win pays 2.00, a draw 3.50, a home win 3.20. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.60.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| León to win | 3.20 | 28% | 30% |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26% | 26% |
| Guadalajara to win | 2.00 | 46% | 44% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.65 | 54% | 56% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.25 | 72% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 79% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 57% | 55% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.15 | 43% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.45 | 37% | 34% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.45 | 63% | 66% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: León vs Guadalajara
In short: We are backing Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.45. Our score prediction: 1-1. We put the chance at around 66%, while the odds imply only 63%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- Only 2 of León’s last 5 home games had three or more goals.
- Only 2 of Guadalajara’s last 5 away games had three or more goals.
Against
- There are outliers: one of these games recently had 8 goals.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals · Odds 1.45 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: León vs Guadalajara
When do León play Guadalajara?
Kick-off is on Monday, 09/11/2026, at 03:10 (Liga MX).
Who are the favourites in León vs Guadalajara?
Guadalajara are favourites: an away win pays 2.00, a home win 3.20.
What is the tip for León vs Guadalajara?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.45. We expect a 1-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between León and Guadalajara go?
The two sides have not met in the league in the last two seasons, so form and the table matter most here.
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