Allsvenskan · Sunday, 08/11/2026 · 16:30
Kalmar vs Sirius Prediction, Tips & Odds
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
On Sunday (8 November, 16:30), Kalmar face Sirius in front of their own fans.
The situation: Kalmar are in a relegation battle – Sirius are in the title race
After 27 games, Kalmar are in position 13 with 23 points. Sirius have collected 58 points and sit in position 2. Goal difference: 23-42 for Kalmar, 58-34 for Sirius. Kalmar are just 3 points above the relegation zone. Sirius are level on points with first place.
Form guide Kalmar: Still winless at home
Recent home defeats came against GAIS (0-1), Brommapojkarna (0-3) and Häcken (0-5). Kalmar picked up no wins from their last 5 home games, without scoring a single goal.
Form guide Sirius: Strong away too
On the road, Sirius recently played 0-2 at Hammarby, 1-0 at GAIS and 2-1 at Örgryte. Record in the last 5 away games: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats, 7-7 goals. Sirius scored in 4 of those 5 games.
Kalmar at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Sirius away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Goals expected
The only meeting in the last two seasons ended 3-2 to Sirius (Sirius vs Kalmar, 02/05/2026).
- 02/05/2026 Sirius – Kalmar 3-2
Injuries and suspensions
Kalmar are without: Robert Gojani (suspended).
Sirius have no known absentees.
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Allsvenskan table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hammarby | 28 | 60-23 | 58 |
| 2 | Sirius | 27 | 58-34 | 58 |
| 3 | Djurgarden | 27 | 55-25 | 52 |
| 4 | Hacken | 27 | 48-30 | 49 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 27 | 39-44 | 34 |
| 12 | Mjallby | 27 | 30-43 | 27 |
| 13 | Kalmar | 27 | 23-42 | 23 |
| 14 | Degerfors | 28 | 23-48 | 20 |
| 15 | Orgryte | 28 | 33-60 | 20 |
Kalmar vs Sirius odds
Sirius are slight favourites: an away win pays 2.10, a draw 3.50, a home win 3.00. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.65.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalmar to win | 3.00 | 30% | 26% |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26% | 24% |
| Sirius to win | 2.10 | 43% | 51% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.65 | 57% | 49% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.25 | 70% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 78% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 55% | 58% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 45% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 36% | 37% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.42 | 64% | 63% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Kalmar vs Sirius
In short: Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.65. We expect a 1-2. We put the chance at around 58%, while the odds imply only 55%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- 3 of Kalmar’s last 5 home games produced three or more goals.
- For Sirius away it was 2 of 5.
Against
- Kalmar are without 1 player.
Tip: Over 2.5 goals · Odds 1.65 · Prediction 1-2 · Risk medium
FAQ: Kalmar vs Sirius
When do Kalmar play Sirius?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 08/11/2026, at 16:30 (Allsvenskan).
Who are the favourites in Kalmar vs Sirius?
Sirius are favourites: an away win pays 2.10, a home win 3.00.
What is the tip for Kalmar vs Sirius?
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.65. We expect a 1-2. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Kalmar and Sirius go?
The only meeting in the last two seasons ended 3-2 to Sirius (Sirius vs Kalmar, 02/05/2026).
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