Veikkausliiga · Sunday, 08/11/2026 · 14:00
HJK vs AC Oulu Prediction, Tips & Odds
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
It is HJK vs Oulu on Sunday (8 November, 14:00).
The situation: HJK sit top of the table – Oulu are playing out the season
HJK are in position 1 with 58 points, Oulu follow in position 4 with 47 points. Goal difference: 63-36 for HJK, 38-37 for Oulu. HJK have nothing left to play for in the table. Oulu have nothing left to play for in the table.
Form guide HJK: Strong at home
Recent home wins came against Gnistan (4-0) and VPS (6-0). Against KuPS (2-2) they could only draw. HJK picked up 3 wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 3.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
Form guide Oulu: Strong away too
On the road, Oulu recently played 4-3 at Gnistan, 2-1 at Inter Turku and 1-0 at KuPS. Record in the last 5 away games: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat, 8-5 goals. Oulu scored in 4 of those 5 games.
HJK at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Oulu away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: HJK enjoy facing Oulu
Record in the last 5 meetings: 4 wins for HJK, 1 for Oulu, 0 draws. There were 3.4 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 3-4 (Oulu vs HJK Helsinki, 12/10/2026).
- 12/10/2026 AC Oulu – HJK Helsinki 3-4
- 09/08/2026 AC Oulu – HJK Helsinki 0-1
- 11/04/2026 HJK Helsinki – AC Oulu 0-1
- 20/07/2025 HJK Helsinki – AC Oulu 3-1
- 14/06/2025 AC Oulu – HJK Helsinki 0-4
Injuries and suspensions
HJK are without: Jesse Öst (bruising).
Oulu are without: Onni Tiihonen (cruciate ligament injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Veikkausliiga table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HJK | 31 | 63-36 | 58 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 31 | 41-27 | 58 |
| 3 | KuPS | 31 | 46-31 | 53 |
| 4 | AC Oulu | 31 | 38-37 | 47 |
| 5 | Gnistan | 31 | 47-46 | 43 |
| 6 | VPS | 31 | 31-38 | 40 |
HJK vs Oulu odds
The bookmakers make HJK clear favourites. A home win pays just 1.11, a draw 8.20 and a Oulu win 13.00. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.25.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| HJK to win | 1.11 | 82% | 70% |
| Draw | 8.20 | 11% | 16% |
| Oulu to win | 13.00 | 7% | 15% |
| Double chance X2 | 5.30 | 18% | 30% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.04 | 88% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.25 | 73% | 68% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.40 | 27% | 32% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.67 | 54% | 48% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 2.00 | 46% | 52% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: HJK vs Oulu
In short: We are backing Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.25. Our score prediction: 2-1. We put the chance at around 68%. The odds reflect that quite accurately, so this tip is no bargain.
For
- All of HJK’s last 5 home games produced three or more goals.
- For Oulu away it was 2 of 5.
- 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings produced three or more goals.
Against
- HJK kept 2 clean sheets at home.
- HJK are without 1 player.
- Oulu are missing 1 player.
Tip: Over 2.5 goals · Odds 1.25 · Prediction 2-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: HJK vs Oulu
When do HJK play Oulu?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 08/11/2026, at 14:00 (Veikkausliiga).
Who are the favourites in HJK vs Oulu?
HJK are clear favourites: a home win pays 1.11, a Oulu win 13.00.
What is the tip for HJK vs Oulu?
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.25. We expect a 2-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between HJK and Oulu go?
Record in the last 5 meetings: 4 wins for HJK, 1 for Oulu, 0 draws. There were 3.4 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 3-4 (Oulu vs HJK Helsinki, 12/10/2026).
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