Allsvenskan · Sunday, 08/11/2026 · 14:00
Goteborg vs Malmo FF Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Goteborg · Malmo FF
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
It is Goteborg vs Malmo on Sunday (8 November, 14:00).
The situation: Goteborg have gone 4 games without a win – Malmo are playing out the season
After 27 games, Goteborg are in position 10 with 38 points. Malmo have collected 40 points and sit in position 8. Goal difference: 36-46 for Goteborg, 42-36 for Malmo. Goteborg have nothing left to play for in the table. Malmo have nothing left to play for in the table.
Form guide Goteborg: Strong at home
Recent home wins came against Västerås (1-0) and Halmstad (2-1). Against Djurgarden (1-1) they could only draw. Goteborg picked up 3 wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded.
Form guide Malmo: Strong away too
On the road, Malmo recently played 3-0 at Halmstad, 0-0 at Elfsborg and 0-2 at Västerås. Record in the last 5 away games: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat, 5-2 goals. Malmo scored in 3 of those 5 games.
Goteborg at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Malmo away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Goals expected
The only meeting in the last two seasons ended 4-0 to Malmo (Malmo vs Goteborg, 12/07/2026).
- 12/07/2026 Malmo FF – Goteborg 4-0
Injuries and suspensions
Goteborg are without: Arbnor Mucolli (injury).
Malmo are without: Kenan Busuladzic (cruciate ligament injury), Pontus Jansson (cruciate ligament injury), Andrej Djuric (suspended).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Allsvenskan table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Vasteras SK | 28 | 40-38 | 45 |
| 7 | GAIS | 28 | 36-28 | 40 |
| 8 | Malmo FF | 27 | 42-36 | 40 |
| 9 | AIK | 27 | 43-47 | 38 |
| 10 | Goteborg | 27 | 36-46 | 38 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 27 | 39-44 | 34 |
| 12 | Mjallby | 27 | 30-43 | 27 |
Goteborg vs Malmo odds
The bookmakers expect a close game. Home win 2.55, draw 3.50 and a Malmo win 2.40. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.60.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goteborg to win | 2.55 | 36% | 35% |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26% | 27% |
| Malmo to win | 2.40 | 38% | 37% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.47 | 62% | 63% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.37 | 64% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 78% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 57% | 50% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.15 | 43% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.75 | 33% | 27% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.37 | 67% | 73% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Goteborg vs Malmo
In short: We are backing Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.40. Our score prediction: 1-1. We put the chance at around 72%, while the odds imply only 65%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- Only 1 of Goteborg’s last 5 home games had three or more goals.
- Only 1 of Malmo’s last 5 away games had three or more goals.
Against
- An early goal or a red card can turn any match.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals · Odds 1.40 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk low
FAQ: Goteborg vs Malmo
When do Goteborg play Malmo?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 08/11/2026, at 14:00 (Allsvenskan).
Who are the favourites in Goteborg vs Malmo?
Malmo are favourites: an away win pays 2.40, a home win 2.55.
What is the tip for Goteborg vs Malmo?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.40. We expect a 1-1. Risk: low.
How did recent meetings between Goteborg and Malmo go?
The only meeting in the last two seasons ended 4-0 to Malmo (Malmo vs Goteborg, 12/07/2026).
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