Süper Lig · Saturday, 07/11/2026 · 17:00
Göztepe vs İstanbul Başakşehir Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Göztepe · İstanbul Başakşehir
Full time 1-2 · Tip “Under 3.5 goals” won
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
On Saturday (7 November, 17:00), Göztepe face İstanbul Başakşehir in front of their own fans.
The situation: Göztepe have won 4 games in a row – İstanbul Başakşehir are chasing Europe
Göztepe are in position 9 with 15 points, İstanbul Başakşehir follow in position 10 with 14 points. Goal difference: 21-17 for Göztepe, 17-16 for İstanbul Başakşehir. Göztepe are 5 points off a Conference League place. İstanbul Başakşehir are just 3 points off a Conference League place.
Form guide Göztepe: Inconsistent at home
At home they recently beat Çorum (2-0). There was also a defeat against Gaziantep (2-4). Against Rizespor (2-2) they could only draw. Göztepe picked up 1 win from their last 4 home games, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.
Form guide İstanbul Başakşehir: Winless on the road
On the road, İstanbul Başakşehir recently played 0-2 at Beşiktaş, 0-0 at Konyaspor and 0-5 at Amed. Record in the last 4 away games: no wins, 1 draw, 3 defeats, 1-9 goals. İstanbul Başakşehir scored in only 1 of those 4 games.
Göztepe at home, last 4 (oldest → newest)
İstanbul Başakşehir away, last 4 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Evenly matched record
Record in the last 2 meetings: 1 win for Göztepe, 1 for İstanbul Başakşehir, 0 draws. There were 2.0 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 2-1 (Başakşehir vs Göztepe, 07/03/2026).
- 07/03/2026 Başakşehir – Göztepe 2-1
- 05/10/2025 Göztepe – Başakşehir 1-0
Injuries and suspensions
Göztepe are without: Noah Sonko Sundberg (injury), Furkan Bayır (cruciate ligament injury), Ogün Bayrak (injury), Luka Gugeshashvili (suspension), Ibrahim Sabra (ineligible).
İstanbul Başakşehir are without: Yusuf Sarı (injury), Muhammed Şengezer (injury), Christopher Operi (injury), Saba Kharebashvili (injury), Hamza Gureler (suspended).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Süper Lig: Süper Lig goalscorer tips.
Süper Lig table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Çorum | 10 | 21-16 | 16 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 10 | 11-9 | 16 |
| 9 | Göztepe | 10 | 21-17 | 15 |
| 10 | İstanbul Başakşehir | 10 | 17-16 | 14 |
| 11 | Erzurumspor | 10 | 9-15 | 14 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 10 | 9-16 | 12 |
Göztepe vs İstanbul Başakşehir odds
Göztepe go in as favourites: the home win is priced at 1.87, a draw 3.70 and a İstanbul Başakşehir win 3.80. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.65.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Göztepe to win | 1.87 | 50% | 52% |
| Draw | 3.70 | 25% | 24% |
| İstanbul Başakşehir to win | 3.80 | 25% | 23% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.28 | 75% | 77% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.67 | 50% | 48% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 79% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 57% | 56% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 43% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 37% | 35% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.47 | 63% | 65% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Göztepe vs İstanbul Başakşehir
In short: Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.47. We expect a 1-1. We put the chance at around 65%. The odds reflect that quite accurately, so this tip is no bargain.
For
- Only 2 of Göztepe’s last 4 home games had three or more goals.
- Only 2 of İstanbul Başakşehir’s last 4 away games had three or more goals.
Against
- There are outliers: one of these games recently had 6 goals.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals · Odds 1.47 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: Göztepe vs İstanbul Başakşehir
When do Göztepe play İstanbul Başakşehir?
Kick-off is on Saturday, 07/11/2026, at 17:00 (Süper Lig).
Who are the favourites in Göztepe vs İstanbul Başakşehir?
Göztepe are favourites: a home win pays 1.87, a İstanbul Başakşehir win 3.80.
What is the tip for Göztepe vs İstanbul Başakşehir?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.47. We expect a 1-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Göztepe and İstanbul Başakşehir go?
Record in the last 2 meetings: 1 win for Göztepe, 1 for İstanbul Başakşehir, 0 draws. There were 2.0 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 2-1 (Başakşehir vs Göztepe, 07/03/2026).
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