Championship · Saturday, 07/11/2026 · 16:00
Birmingham City vs Swansea City Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Birmingham City · Swansea City
Full time 2-1 · Tip “Over 2.5 goals” won
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
On Saturday (7 November, 16:00), Birmingham City face Swansea City in front of their own fans.
The situation: Birmingham City are on course for promotion – Swansea City are fighting for the play-offs
After 14 games, Birmingham City are in position 4 with 26 points. Swansea City have collected 26 points and sit in position 6. Goal difference: 26-13 for Birmingham City, 21-16 for Swansea City. Birmingham City occupy a promotion place, but with no cushion at all. Swansea City are just 2 points off a play-off place.
Form guide Birmingham City: Strong at home
Recent home wins came against Millwall (3-0), Queens Park Rangers (3-0) and Preston North End (4-0). Birmingham City picked up 3 wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.
Form guide Swansea City: Inconsistent on the road
On the road, Swansea City recently played 1-3 at Portsmouth, 0-5 at Queens Park Rangers and 1-0 at Millwall. Record in the last 5 away games: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats, 5-12 goals. Swansea City scored in 4 of those 5 games.
Birmingham City at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Swansea City away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Plenty of draws
Record in the last 2 meetings: 1 win for Birmingham City, 0 for Swansea City, 1 draw. There were only 1.5 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 1-1 (Swansea vs Birmingham, 17/01/2026).
- 17/01/2026 Swansea – Birmingham 1-1
- 20/09/2025 Birmingham – Swansea 1-0
Injuries and suspensions
Birmingham City are without: Max Bird (calf injury), Taylor Gardner-Hickman (thigh injury), Marc Leonard (Achilles tendon injury), Lee Buchanan (cruciate ligament injury).
Swansea City are without: Cameron Burgess (Achilles tendon injury), Josh Key (thigh injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Championship: Championship goalscorer tips.
Championship table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 14 | 30-19 | 28 |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 14 | 25-17 | 27 |
| 4 | Birmingham City | 14 | 26-13 | 26 |
| 5 | Stoke City | 14 | 22-17 | 26 |
| 6 | Swansea City | 14 | 21-16 | 26 |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion | 14 | 20-15 | 25 |
| 8 | West Ham United | 14 | 36-21 | 23 |
Birmingham City vs Swansea City odds
Birmingham City go in as favourites: the home win is priced at 1.80, a draw 3.30 and a Swansea City win 4.00. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.72.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham City to win | 1.80 | 50% | 53% |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27% | 25% |
| Swansea City to win | 4.00 | 23% | 22% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.13 | 77% | 78% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.95 | 50% | 47% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 75% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 53% | 58% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 47% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 30% | 35% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.30 | 70% | 65% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Birmingham City vs Swansea City
In short: We are backing Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.72. Our score prediction: 2-1. We put the chance at around 58%, while the odds imply only 53%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- All of Birmingham City’s last 5 home games produced three or more goals.
- For Swansea City away it was 4 of 5.
Against
- Birmingham City kept 3 clean sheets at home.
- Birmingham City are without 4 players.
- Swansea City are missing 2 players.
Tip: Over 2.5 goals · Odds 1.72 · Prediction 2-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: Birmingham City vs Swansea City
When do Birmingham City play Swansea City?
Kick-off is on Saturday, 07/11/2026, at 16:00 (Championship).
Who are the favourites in Birmingham City vs Swansea City?
Birmingham City are favourites: a home win pays 1.80, a Swansea City win 4.00.
What is the tip for Birmingham City vs Swansea City?
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.72. We expect a 2-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Birmingham City and Swansea City go?
Record in the last 2 meetings: 1 win for Birmingham City, 0 for Swansea City, 1 draw. There were only 1.5 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 1-1 (Swansea vs Birmingham, 17/01/2026).
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